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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 56% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
56%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.6% → +8.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.125
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.8% … +20.9%
Support16
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control89607 / 81615
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15215
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0f829158df9ba9b5bf9a61021266494b0d5e19250cf3a3c7a3bb177f4968c80a | 100% | 16 |
| w1 | wallet | 26d5b6c6d1762b9fb4532cee4c446b5a096beba1fedd4e019889dfbbe1381eaa | 94% | 15 |
Other crews running this exact shape
23 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 3029 | 16 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 49 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 32 | +27.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 78 | +25.6% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 26 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +20.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 16 | +19.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 44 | +16.1% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 82 | +15.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 40 | 40 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| all | 109993 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 1988 | +14.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 230 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 34 | +14.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 143 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 111 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 245 | +8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 15215
4 resolved wallets
0f829…8c80aee5ce…1c36af4a58…7e57926d5b…81eaa
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8f19…0c1f | 414,649,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 9a0e…63bf | 412,162,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 2483…e0bf | 412,023,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 341b…fddf | 414,644,675 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| c3a3…e3ef | 412,028,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 49db…043f | 412,166,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 870e…71af | 412,167,708 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| a2a5…a08f | 412,168,089 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| c9d7…ae5f | 411,996,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 9e09…859f | 412,026,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 8dae…a3bf | 412,023,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| a7db…a05f | 412,033,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 93f8…ed8f | 412,030,900 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 6ed4…6e8f | 412,029,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 9b62…ff5f | 412,353,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 26de…fe7f | 412,025,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 9592…0ebf | 414,648,507 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 255f…90bf | 412,026,921 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 9972…283f | 412,034,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 75af…f07f | 412,163,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 85f7…082f | 412,034,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| d0af…e6bf | 412,026,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 13bd…d2bf | 412,166,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| a3d4…397f | 414,643,917 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| c2fd…3f4f | 414,643,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| acaf…d3cf | 412,023,969 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 855f…8f9f | 411,994,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| bbe4…0d4f | 412,031,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 2526…140f | 414,649,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 26d9…06ff | 414,644,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 7580…161f | 412,024,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 2cd8…860f | 411,993,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| f05a…6b2f | 412,027,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 337b…c4bf | 412,162,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 1337…c9ff | 412,029,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| fee0…880f | 412,032,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| a81b…966f | 412,164,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| e9bf…f73f | 414,648,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| cdcf…44cf | 412,167,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 65b7…e68f | 412,028,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| b6c3…fd4f | 412,029,710 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 070b…2e0f | 412,025,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 1eed…ccef | 414,647,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| e131…a02f | 412,168,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| c4cd…59bf | 412,163,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 98c7…346f | 412,157,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| a714…087f | 412,026,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| ce45…6b1f | 414,647,359 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 3fe5…8bbf | 412,167,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| fb0c…c88f | 412,035,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| e5ac…bf6f | 412,031,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| e17c…6c4f | 414,647,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 7345…19ff | 412,030,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| f472…869f | 412,157,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| df1a…125f | 411,994,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| e9d5…45af | 412,024,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| 2c25…3bff | 412,028,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| acd0…ecef | 412,031,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| e836…a87f | 412,023,911 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |
| b4a7…1f4f | 412,030,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15215 | replay |