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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 41% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
41%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.7% → +4.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.390
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.6% … +13.9%
Support17
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control89607 / 81615
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12477
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | aac6cf3ef06ce2394090cc10dd9f8b590b0ba035bba42637118006e0596e7474 | 94% | 16 |
| w1 | wallet | b367352a482368630e9d196d971d8abb3b5e4963811419c129f1f40095952dac | 94% | 16 |
Other crews running this exact shape
23 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 3029 | 16 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 49 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 32 | +27.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 78 | +25.6% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 26 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +20.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 16 | +19.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 44 | +16.1% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 82 | +15.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 40 | 40 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| all | 109993 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 1988 | +14.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 230 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 34 | +14.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 143 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 111 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 245 | +8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 12477
4 resolved wallets
9d0b5…c8e53aac6c…e7474b3673…52dac20590…1cf75
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2354…7f9f | 410,636,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| fc80…feef | 411,838,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b8d7…b18f | 412,300,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 421d…f70f | 416,284,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b757…efcf | 413,151,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 29f3…64cf | 411,071,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2b20…e6af | 412,985,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| e203…766f | 415,881,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 0010…0fdf | 413,160,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 4a0c…53df | 414,984,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| d034…2fbf | 415,153,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 86e4…b4ef | 416,881,451 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7d89…2c2f | 416,259,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 34e8…abe6 | 411,364,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 9303…70af | 412,081,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7de7…64af | 412,999,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| c50b…b03f | 416,065,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| c522…2e8f | 416,270,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 36cb…8f6f | 410,582,174 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2fe1…9f4f | 416,943,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7076…0515 | 411,241,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 13ea…9c4f | 410,365,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 41f4…967f | 410,819,758 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a648…57ff | 411,285,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 668e…03df | 412,480,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 939a…2c2f | 411,004,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 892a…23df | 411,016,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 493b…fa5f | 416,908,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 4ae0…7fdf | 412,327,117 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 76cf…626f | 416,290,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7332…772f | 412,305,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2748…0b9f | 416,279,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| bf2c…afa3 | 411,256,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b572…1c3f | 413,001,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 5b82…925f | 416,039,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 9fa1…6e80 | 411,364,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 629b…0aaf | 413,795,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 8092…690f | 414,039,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7dfa…fcef | 413,365,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| d547…072f | 411,480,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a879…e0cf | 411,070,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a0ff…d32f | 412,757,451 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7c3f…bdff | 411,713,108 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 1068…1c5f | 412,766,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 81ab…bc1f | 411,022,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 116f…c0df | 416,730,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 9265…622f | 416,247,108 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2222…3bcf | 411,019,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| ab9c…21bf | 413,152,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 3766…281f | 411,480,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b0bf…52ef | 410,579,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 3cdb…d68f | 413,377,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2040…726f | 416,460,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| f4f8…c04f | 416,722,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 80c5…1c0f | 411,718,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| aec0…ccbf | 412,726,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| c90d…03df | 412,721,619 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2a6a…023f | 416,094,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a0ee…8edf | 411,027,797 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 097c…3ddf | 410,851,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |