│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+14.1%
n=15 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
21 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.4% → +7.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.160
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.0% … +16.9%
Support21
OOS support15
MDL bits20
Case / control49796 / 56586
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16510
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | a45f8cfe3137da0329bf178a97165b4730a0773b8b72b846c54153dba55d2583 | 100% | 36 |
| w1 | wallet | 021c0e7abe90576cb7efe8660225f50cd12cfb09e39c6ce0454898ae061a4a78 | 100% | 36 |
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 34 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 36 | +20.2% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +17.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5659 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 22 | +13.4% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3497 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| all | 83228 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 133 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 103 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 17 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 51 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4443 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24002 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 18 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 22 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 29 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 28 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 16510
5 resolved wallets
a45f8…d2583021c0…a4a78e5703…cf9f19755e…7a1a8d0605…fba98
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d5a…cf2f | 427,523,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| d1b2…f93f | 427,523,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 75fb…b7cf | 427,523,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| b5f6…8def | 427,525,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 61d7…dd1f | 412,587,676 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5bb4…b7df | 412,377,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 4516…90ef | 418,235,493 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 626b…1c7f | 427,524,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8dc8…d89f | 412,593,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 7746…1b6f | 411,858,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 16d4…d18f | 427,527,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8836…7bbf | 427,525,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| c94e…32af | 412,364,862 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 39a9…dc5f | 412,580,878 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 6fe0…627f | 412,589,635 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a6bf…151f | 427,523,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| ac97…1e7f | 427,525,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| bd36…ed4f | 427,520,807 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| c471…be9f | 427,524,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 141b…707f | 427,519,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 7b49…481f | 412,585,694 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 251e…881f | 427,524,041 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 863f…a6bf | 412,584,354 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| b6c2…142f | 427,521,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 6359…f6df | 427,360,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 63be…f80f | 427,330,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 982d…8c2f | 427,527,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5353…f27f | 426,700,113 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| e49d…2f3f | 412,583,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| c29c…ed3f | 412,367,419 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 29cc…06bf | 426,700,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 459f…6f9f | 420,854,911 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 0c7a…dc2f | 411,652,129 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 2e90…6cff | 412,593,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 766d…4a2f | 412,585,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 7737…7cef | 427,527,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| f417…4d1f | 427,521,883 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 3d56…3a6f | 427,350,452 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8862…209f | 418,236,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5855…cbdf | 426,701,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| f439…c7df | 426,700,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a88a…51bf | 427,524,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| d8ef…4e1f | 427,523,293 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 28f0…a44f | 412,578,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 1125…19bf | 427,357,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 6723…265f | 427,526,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| fb1a…ce4f | 412,585,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8b9b…bd7f | 427,521,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| fd68…075f | 427,522,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 60af…f7cf | 427,364,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a2cd…32cf | 427,523,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a825…785f | 427,355,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| cb6d…46cf | 427,357,603 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| b554…873f | 427,519,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| aa57…c2df | 427,519,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 9491…b27f | 427,526,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| ac38…80af | 427,524,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5543…373f | 427,525,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a5ad…a58f | 427,525,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| d163…f96f | 412,360,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |