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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.5%
n=23140 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
83228 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.3% → +10.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.2% … +10.5%
Support83,228
OOS support23,140
MDL bits0
Case / control49796 / 56586
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 34 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 36 | +20.2% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +17.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5659 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 21 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 22 | +13.4% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3497 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 133 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 103 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 17 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 51 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4443 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24002 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 18 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 22 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 29 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 28 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c3ad…4d9f | 419,334,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| d2a2…aa3f | 419,661,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d2a8…9aaf | 420,215,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d30a…1e22 | 418,193,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d32a…41bf | 417,230,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13398 | replay |
| d32a…54bf | 415,663,980 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d338…720f | 422,288,938 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14441 | replay |
| d353…c9cf | 413,043,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d353…badf | 412,124,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d35b…397f | 411,727,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d369…72df | 415,818,093 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6798 | replay |
| d383…1e1f | 422,166,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3f0…af4f | 417,924,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7293…73af | 425,283,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 625 | replay |
| 72af…963f | 415,219,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72c4…49df | 426,752,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7a48…7c2f | 421,158,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1612 | replay |
| 3b42…260f | 421,813,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b45…270f | 417,762,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1958 | replay |
| 3b66…45bf | 412,396,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3bef…89cf | 427,452,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 3bf8…1b01 | 415,359,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3c4d…26bf | 412,930,549 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0e96…033f | 417,813,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eb5…c71f | 422,430,267 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 0edc…caef | 421,495,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0eed…bc3f | 425,441,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 190 | replay |
| 0ef4…522f | 425,850,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 190 | replay |
| 0ef5…646f | 425,863,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 0f09…ec3f | 427,222,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17941 | replay |
| 697d…ac7f | 418,531,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 69b9…2b2f | 420,616,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69dd…4a5f | 427,592,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 6a92…cb3f | 415,029,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 270f…b37f | 420,392,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6274 | replay |
| 273e…8fbf | 413,087,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2761…c86f | 417,358,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 27a2…cdff | 427,675,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 7352…afff | 415,379,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4519 | replay |
| 27a9…16ff | 414,923,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7a38…3a5c | 420,815,999 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2b4f…137f | 418,848,755 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22102 | replay |
| 2b40…143f | 417,155,764 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2aeb…3d6f | 418,511,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22054 | replay |
| 2abb…eff7 | 413,851,520 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2aba…6987 | 420,315,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2aad…db4f | 416,493,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3677 | replay |
| 2aa9…e67f | 413,593,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b779…30ff | 418,639,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b765…f34f | 421,719,982 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b763…ccff | 416,801,113 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b731…690f | 421,200,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b728…70df | 411,097,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| b6e3…ed9f | 419,305,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b6a0…459f | 412,143,758 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 27e3…958f | 421,190,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6442 | replay |
| b692…aa4f | 416,246,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b686…b4bf | 418,711,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10888 | replay |
| b695…016f | 425,971,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2728 | replay |
| 5cc7…2d6f | 418,767,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |