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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-20.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
28 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.0% → +6.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.203
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.4% … +14.4%
Support28
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control49796 / 56586
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16628
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 8f6bbf491a29087fb87d30b3ca9980bc682be87b87e8d6039567d237d5cfc3d9 | 100% | 30 |
| w1 | wallet | fe616dc654e85d4add67e10a5fe1c68a0a77b8da5a9fb39f14540b00fac010ba | 100% | 30 |
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 34 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 36 | +20.2% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +17.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5659 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 21 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 22 | +13.4% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3497 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| all | 83228 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 133 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 103 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 17 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 51 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4443 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24002 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 18 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 22 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 29 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 16628
3 resolved wallets
fe616…010ba8f6bb…fc3d95a48f…93c81
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1c56…1b6f | 421,482,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| bbe9…7d9f | 421,466,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 2cdb…edff | 421,364,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 7c19…bc8f | 421,449,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 783c…7e3f | 421,956,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 6927…59bf | 421,347,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 8e27…50af | 421,453,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 1a17…c96f | 421,466,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0ffa…bb8f | 421,357,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ea36…f42f | 421,905,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 2b96…a25f | 421,883,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c8f5…5ebf | 421,337,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0afd…776f | 421,474,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c5e9…23df | 421,348,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 2d63…286f | 421,477,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 1924…dd2f | 421,359,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 3646…f13f | 421,475,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| d437…babf | 421,481,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 9f3e…872f | 421,472,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ce1b…7cbf | 421,538,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 65bf…e59f | 421,474,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 83a9…e32f | 421,674,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 6e15…445f | 421,525,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| d8d7…748f | 421,341,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| f065…5bef | 421,350,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ac6b…e44f | 421,349,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 9221…ec2f | 421,350,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0815…431f | 421,348,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| f764…c9bf | 421,348,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 5956…704f | 421,359,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 640e…69ff | 421,323,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c4a6…2bcf | 421,364,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ec62…4cbf | 421,458,772 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 9044…9d1f | 421,477,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0fae…a8df | 421,959,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 62cc…c79f | 421,346,883 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| a912…b14f | 421,346,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 880c…e82f | 421,350,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| aeab…c56f | 421,346,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 2063…18ef | 421,354,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 042d…800f | 421,470,523 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| af71…26ef | 421,958,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0893…7c8f | 421,350,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| aafc…f0ff | 421,527,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| edc2…7e9f | 421,944,493 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| f43e…582f | 421,358,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| d744…653f | 421,958,408 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ab28…e55f | 421,534,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| da70…9e6f | 421,944,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c0ee…293f | 421,353,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| dc41…d45f | 421,944,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| db2e…28bf | 421,467,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 6373…172f | 421,906,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| b7ec…cd8f | 421,477,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 598e…8fbf | 421,347,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 4812…89cf | 421,958,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ffeb…630f | 421,461,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| b3ab…acef | 421,342,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 50ba…0a3f | 421,463,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 79c4…752f | 421,324,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |