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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+1.1%
n=19 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.5% → +5.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.354
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.7% … +15.8%
Support17
OOS support19
MDL bits20
Case / control49796 / 56586
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15095
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 4fe13d21ab1a27910d173c3a5f42d56acf7d27aae49ce93f0d11f0d67e09bde3 | 100% | 36 |
| w1 | wallet | 82168518851160b26a9ef729180ffb3a31c17a84e9d007a533dddb3f64c53480 | 100% | 36 |
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 34 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 36 | +20.2% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +17.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5659 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 21 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 22 | +13.4% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3497 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| all | 83228 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 133 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 103 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 51 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4443 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24002 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 18 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 22 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 29 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 28 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 15095
5 resolved wallets
82168…534804fe13…9bde31e431…10b17434a4…6b0f712a48…532a2
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fe4d…6f9f | 420,502,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 5a25…79af | 422,684,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 3e41…6f7f | 423,231,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 127f…afcf | 416,976,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 222e…05af | 423,109,510 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 95cb…7c8f | 415,037,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 8430…acff | 424,170,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 9883…6f3f | 420,502,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 3f02…f17f | 425,248,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| f5e8…d1ef | 421,611,024 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 753a…6d6f | 420,487,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| f81c…504f | 420,480,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 6e26…e0cf | 427,148,687 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 7288…4b2f | 417,061,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| c218…c48a | 427,366,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| c92d…da2f | 422,583,902 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 77d8…274f | 416,981,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 762b…545f | 425,278,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| bf29…bc9f | 425,277,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| a74b…0d7f | 425,251,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| d830…f66f | 422,689,266 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| be9a…75ef | 419,827,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 3642…c20f | 421,613,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| cb48…d37f | 427,014,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| ae64…d36f | 424,184,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 089f…884f | 423,979,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 271b…65df | 415,487,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 0eea…19ef | 425,255,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| fc5e…239f | 422,584,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 162d…ad9f | 415,243,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 9053…67df | 427,021,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| b103…6626 | 427,366,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 4f1c…ee8f | 416,985,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| aee2…b96f | 419,827,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 053c…973f | 420,514,788 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 1b8b…bb1f | 425,693,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| a6e8…e07f | 424,174,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| e3ec…8a3f | 426,335,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| b58b…fb7f | 414,663,388 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| b7e7…50cf | 423,972,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 54b5…17ef | 421,815,998 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 86e6…2f9f | 425,775,845 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| eca4…49ef | 422,684,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 0d09…996f | 424,185,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 580b…862f | 425,711,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| e882…de3f | 420,480,131 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 0472…b3bf | 425,287,109 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| e48c…a4af | 421,611,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 79c6…4a6f | 426,506,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| d783…488f | 420,484,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 1649…b1ef | 415,497,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 0de8…867f | 423,982,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 0c8d…d19f | 415,034,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 457c…bcdf | 424,206,083 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| fc7f…903f | 420,488,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 3697…624f | 424,168,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| ac32…2dcf | 417,220,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 166c…20bf | 421,815,447 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| c8fd…5e0f | 422,854,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |
| 7933…b8bf | 424,179,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15095 | replay |