│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 56% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-20.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
56%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.0% → +8.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.087
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.9% … +17.9%
Support25
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control48821 / 48847
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16628
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 8f6bbf491a29087fb87d30b3ca9980bc682be87b87e8d6039567d237d5cfc3d9 | 100% | 27 |
| w1 | wallet | fe616dc654e85d4add67e10a5fe1c68a0a77b8da5a9fb39f14540b00fac010ba | 100% | 27 |
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 37 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 37 | +22.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24294 | 16 | +19.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +18.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 81 | +14.6% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 38 | +14.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 26 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3582 | +10.8% | — | view → |
| all | 77785 | +9.6% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 150 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 19 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 76 | +0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 90 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 56 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 33 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 16 | -2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 30 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 23 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 16628
3 resolved wallets
fe616…010ba8f6bb…fc3d95a48f…93c81
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1c56…1b6f | 421,482,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| bbe9…7d9f | 421,466,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 7c19…bc8f | 421,449,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 783c…7e3f | 421,956,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 8e27…50af | 421,453,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 1a17…c96f | 421,466,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0ffa…bb8f | 421,357,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ea36…f42f | 421,905,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c8f5…5ebf | 421,337,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0afd…776f | 421,474,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c5e9…23df | 421,348,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 2d63…286f | 421,477,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 1924…dd2f | 421,359,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 9f3e…872f | 421,472,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ce1b…7cbf | 421,538,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 65bf…e59f | 421,474,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 83a9…e32f | 421,674,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 6e15…445f | 421,525,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| d8d7…748f | 421,341,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ac6b…e44f | 421,349,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0815…431f | 421,348,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| f764…c9bf | 421,348,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 5956…704f | 421,359,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 640e…69ff | 421,323,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ec62…4cbf | 421,458,772 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 9044…9d1f | 421,477,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0fae…a8df | 421,959,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| a912…b14f | 421,346,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 880c…e82f | 421,350,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| aeab…c56f | 421,346,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 2063…18ef | 421,354,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 042d…800f | 421,470,523 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| af71…26ef | 421,958,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 0893…7c8f | 421,350,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| aafc…f0ff | 421,527,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| edc2…7e9f | 421,944,493 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| f43e…582f | 421,358,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| d744…653f | 421,958,408 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ab28…e55f | 421,534,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| da70…9e6f | 421,944,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| c0ee…293f | 421,353,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| db2e…28bf | 421,467,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| b7ec…cd8f | 421,477,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 598e…8fbf | 421,347,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 4812…89cf | 421,958,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ffeb…630f | 421,461,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| b3ab…acef | 421,342,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 50ba…0a3f | 421,463,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 79c4…752f | 421,324,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 66a5…16ef | 421,534,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 6aae…808f | 421,674,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 80a0…c0bf | 421,355,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ecf6…e82f | 421,457,197 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 7fa0…9d0f | 421,359,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ac5c…964f | 421,336,113 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ecde…edef | 421,458,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 6e92…8eef | 421,908,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| ae0c…f13f | 421,483,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| bdee…039f | 421,423,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |
| 1615…3a6f | 421,463,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16628 | replay |