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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+11.3%
n=8 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
26 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.1% → +7.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.103
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.3% … +16.5%
Support26
OOS support8
MDL bits20
Case / control48821 / 48847
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16510
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | a45f8cfe3137da0329bf178a97165b4730a0773b8b72b846c54153dba55d2583 | 100% | 34 |
| w1 | wallet | 021c0e7abe90576cb7efe8660225f50cd12cfb09e39c6ce0454898ae061a4a78 | 100% | 34 |
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 37 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 37 | +22.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24294 | 16 | +19.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +18.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 81 | +14.6% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 38 | +14.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3582 | +10.8% | — | view → |
| all | 77785 | +9.6% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 150 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 19 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 76 | +0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 90 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 56 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 33 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 16 | -2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 30 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 23 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 25 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 16510
5 resolved wallets
a45f8…d2583021c0…a4a78e5703…cf9f19755e…7a1a8d0605…fba98
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d5a…cf2f | 427,523,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| b5f6…8def | 427,525,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 61d7…dd1f | 412,587,676 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5bb4…b7df | 412,377,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 4516…90ef | 418,235,493 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 626b…1c7f | 427,524,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8dc8…d89f | 412,593,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 16d4…d18f | 427,527,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8836…7bbf | 427,525,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 39a9…dc5f | 412,580,878 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 6fe0…627f | 412,589,635 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| ac97…1e7f | 427,525,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| c471…be9f | 427,524,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 141b…707f | 427,519,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 7b49…481f | 412,585,694 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 251e…881f | 427,524,041 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 863f…a6bf | 412,584,354 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| c29c…ed3f | 412,367,419 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 29cc…06bf | 426,700,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 459f…6f9f | 420,854,911 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 0c7a…dc2f | 411,652,129 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 2e90…6cff | 412,593,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 766d…4a2f | 412,585,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 7737…7cef | 427,527,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| f417…4d1f | 427,521,883 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 3d56…3a6f | 427,350,452 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8862…209f | 418,236,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5855…cbdf | 426,701,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| f439…c7df | 426,700,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a88a…51bf | 427,524,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 28f0…a44f | 412,578,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 1125…19bf | 427,357,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| fb1a…ce4f | 412,585,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8b9b…bd7f | 427,521,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| fd68…075f | 427,522,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 60af…f7cf | 427,364,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a2cd…32cf | 427,523,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a825…785f | 427,355,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| cb6d…46cf | 427,357,603 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| b554…873f | 427,519,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| ac38…80af | 427,524,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a5ad…a58f | 427,525,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| d163…f96f | 412,360,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 4012…74af | 427,523,463 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| bba1…abcf | 412,576,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 65af…d07f | 412,592,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 2448…c28f | 412,578,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 4dca…2b5f | 427,526,624 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| fe09…1363 | 410,120,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5a59…48ff | 427,524,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 70f5…393f | 427,525,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| fca1…48ff | 427,526,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| a2dd…2e2f | 427,523,090 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| e2ac…56bf | 427,352,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 655d…1c0f | 412,361,410 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 6e01…b5af | 412,593,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| af09…188f | 416,663,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5a9b…ef9f | 427,366,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 8c4b…271f | 427,521,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 1eba…dd9f | 427,520,408 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |