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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+9.6%
n=19869 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
77785 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.0% → +11.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.9% … +11.1%
Support77,785
OOS support19,869
MDL bits0
Case / control48821 / 48847
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 37 | +29.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 37 | +22.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24294 | 16 | +19.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2728 | 17 | +18.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 81 | +14.6% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 38 | +14.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6442 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 26 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3582 | +10.8% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 150 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 19 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 76 | +0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 90 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 56 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 33 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 16 | -2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 2639 | 15 | -8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 30 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 23 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 25 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d2a8…9aaf | 420,215,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d30a…1e22 | 418,193,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d32a…41bf | 417,230,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13398 | replay |
| d32a…54bf | 415,663,980 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d338…720f | 422,288,938 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14441 | replay |
| d353…c9cf | 413,043,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d353…badf | 412,124,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d35b…397f | 411,727,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d369…72df | 415,818,093 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6798 | replay |
| d383…1e1f | 422,166,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3f0…af4f | 417,924,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7293…73af | 425,283,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 625 | replay |
| 72af…963f | 415,219,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72c4…49df | 426,752,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8601…d37f | 420,056,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b42…260f | 421,813,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b45…270f | 417,762,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1958 | replay |
| 3b66…45bf | 412,396,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3bef…89cf | 427,452,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 3bf8…1b01 | 415,359,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3c4d…26bf | 412,930,549 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0e96…033f | 417,813,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eb5…c71f | 422,430,267 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 0edc…caef | 421,495,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0eed…bc3f | 425,441,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 190 | replay |
| 0ef5…646f | 425,863,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 0f09…ec3f | 427,222,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17941 | replay |
| 697d…ac7f | 418,531,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 69b9…2b2f | 420,616,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a92…cb3f | 415,029,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 270f…b37f | 420,392,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6274 | replay |
| 273e…8fbf | 413,087,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2761…c86f | 417,358,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 27a2…cdff | 427,675,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 27a9…16ff | 414,923,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27e3…958f | 421,190,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6442 | replay |
| 27e9…a6e0 | 422,745,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7352…afff | 415,379,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4519 | replay |
| 2836…e46f | 418,977,461 | +30.0% | ✓ | 51 | replay |
| 7aa3…7c0f | 425,624,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7aa2…815f | 416,472,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7a81…3024 | 419,696,853 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7a48…7c2f | 421,158,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1612 | replay |
| 7a38…3a5c | 420,815,999 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2b4f…137f | 418,848,755 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22102 | replay |
| 2b40…143f | 417,155,764 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2aeb…3d6f | 418,511,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22054 | replay |
| 2abb…eff7 | 413,851,520 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2aba…6987 | 420,315,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2aad…db4f | 416,493,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3677 | replay |
| 2aa9…e67f | 413,593,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b779…30ff | 418,639,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 5ca6…842f | 416,920,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b763…ccff | 416,801,113 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b731…690f | 421,200,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b728…70df | 411,097,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| b765…f34f | 421,719,982 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5d46…feff | 421,393,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24294 | replay |
| 5d4b…9fbf | 418,403,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 57bf…fa6f | 416,621,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |