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rule detail

wash·co-buy(3)

rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+9.6%
n=19869 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
77785 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.0% → +11.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.9% … +11.1%
Support77,785
OOS support19,869
MDL bits0
Case / control48821 / 48847
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
25 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153337+29.1%✓view →
crew 451937+22.5%✓view →
crew 2429416+19.0%—view →
crew 272817+18.2%—view →
crew 1381+14.6%—view →
crew 2539938+14.5%✓view →
crew 644236+13.3%—view →
crew 1651026+11.3%—view →
crew 178933582+10.8%—view →
crew 1050150+7.8%—view →
crew 1509519+1.4%—view →
crew 33676+0.7%—view →
crew 270220+0.0%—view →
crew 366490+0.0%—view →
crew 367756+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 874330+0.0%—view →
crew 1111519+0.0%—view →
crew 1268234+0.0%—view →
crew 2210233+0.0%—view →
crew 359316-2.5%—view →
crew 263915-8.6%—view →
crew 795630-20.0%—view →
crew 1088823-20.0%—view →
crew 1662825-20.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
d2a8…9aaf420,215,752+30.0%✓13 replay
d30a…1e22418,193,885+30.0%✓17893 replay
d32a…41bf417,230,992+30.0%✓13398 replay
d32a…54bf415,663,980+30.0%✓17893 replay
d338…720f422,288,938+30.0%✓14441 replay
d353…c9cf413,043,407+30.0%✓13 replay
d353…badf412,124,152+30.0%✓21 replay
d35b…397f411,727,927+30.0%✓1968 replay
d369…72df415,818,093+30.0%✓6798 replay
d383…1e1f422,166,647+30.0%✓13 replay
d3f0…af4f417,924,852+30.0%✓13 replay
7293…73af425,283,825+30.0%✓625 replay
72af…963f415,219,562+30.0%✓20 replay
72c4…49df426,752,278+30.0%✓13 replay
8601…d37f420,056,776+30.0%✓13 replay
3b42…260f421,813,253+30.0%✓13 replay
3b45…270f417,762,159+30.0%✓1958 replay
3b66…45bf412,396,512+30.0%✓1968 replay
3bef…89cf427,452,289+30.0%✓336 replay
3bf8…1b01415,359,445+30.0%✓2978 replay
3c4d…26bf412,930,549+30.0%✓13 replay
0e96…033f417,813,351+30.0%✓13 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
0edc…caef421,495,299+30.0%✓6 replay
0eed…bc3f425,441,136+30.0%✓190 replay
0ef5…646f425,863,402+30.0%✓36 replay
0f09…ec3f427,222,418+30.0%✓17941 replay
697d…ac7f418,531,276+30.0%✓6 replay
69b9…2b2f420,616,518+30.0%✓13 replay
6a92…cb3f415,029,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
270f…b37f420,392,028+30.0%✓6274 replay
273e…8fbf413,087,020+30.0%✓6 replay
2761…c86f417,358,967+30.0%✓17893 replay
27a2…cdff427,675,506+30.0%✓336 replay
27a9…16ff414,923,813+30.0%✓13 replay
27e3…958f421,190,228+30.0%✓6442 replay
27e9…a6e0422,745,274+30.0%✓13 replay
7352…afff415,379,370+30.0%✓4519 replay
2836…e46f418,977,461+30.0%✓51 replay
7aa3…7c0f425,624,656+30.0%✓6 replay
7aa2…815f416,472,951+30.0%✓13 replay
7a81…3024419,696,853+30.0%✓13 replay
7a48…7c2f421,158,427+30.0%✓1612 replay
7a38…3a5c420,815,999+30.0%✓17893 replay
2b4f…137f418,848,755+30.0%✓22102 replay
2b40…143f417,155,764+30.0%✓6 replay
2aeb…3d6f418,511,876+30.0%✓22054 replay
2abb…eff7413,851,520+30.0%✓13 replay
2aba…6987420,315,820+30.0%✓17893 replay
2aad…db4f416,493,912+30.0%✓3677 replay
2aa9…e67f413,593,705+30.0%✓17893 replay
b779…30ff418,639,283+30.0%✓17893 replay
5ca6…842f416,920,499+30.0%✓13 replay
b763…ccff416,801,113+30.0%✓6 replay
b731…690f421,200,252+30.0%✓13 replay
b728…70df411,097,039+30.0%✓1968 replay
b765…f34f421,719,982+30.0%✓13 replay
5d46…feff421,393,319+30.0%✓24294 replay
5d4b…9fbf418,403,218+30.0%✓6436 replay
57bf…fa6f416,621,731+30.0%✓6 replay