│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(3)
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+7.1%
n=58 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
37 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.7% → +3.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.265
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.7% … +9.1%
Support37
OOS support58
MDL bits20
Case / control681942 / 805284
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 43
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 3f05ddc7dfd9d61d021580bee1f2efa9aa485c560602a194b4f53bc742fab114 | 99% | 94 |
Other crews running this exact shape
27 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 113 | 20 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 17 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 24 | +22.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 31 | +20.6% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 37 | +16.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 17 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 102 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 23 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 58 | +12.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 588 | +11.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 36 | +11.8% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 17 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 19 | +11.1% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 118 | +10.6% | — | view → |
| all | 1034272 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 25 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 17 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 66 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 23 | +3.8% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 19 | +2.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 81 | +1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 403 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 197 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 17 | -2.2% | — | view → |
Crew 43
200 resolved wallets
3f05d…ab114622ac…1959de82a3…ac138208a1…957fd167de…758d1f0fcd…bcb67ec68e…38e0dce2f0…63ce836810…7b42b159f4…db4ba2cea5…3d680677f5…8bea1448b2…a8c1ef9316…74bf2c05cc…4621acad7c…17b029647f…29b6fb7e38…743f44bd34…5f9cd635e6…fb502bf20a…fe2bf14d1d…6e072d30fb…25ee433f91…484a372fcf…e66e132399…87a462007c…fc7a5664f9…f209ef6b4f…18df011c7b…3ae248e1c6…2a7b90eb10…846a3422ff…7d789a0efa…856e5cbf02…38451f8c8e…475496b27d…bf816a0788…e1ea83a4f1…d4df19152b…9132285da3…4fc49ea8f5…1cc3a29f74…198c751a55…3ab50f8180…ef48c4ce1f…76cc095a7d…f49765035b…b9f81a035b…effeef448a…a821839256…ac84ffc635…ba9c24491d…532e005dc9…a1c6cbaa58…bf2c56c1c3…7e1c49d261…f62d996cc5…ba3af6f6ad…0963d4a1b2…5ce6457ec9…f4480110d5…712a659bf6…34930c1aa6…5ad31c2272…fca5d3bc3c…44f1da3f07…18da4335b8…c8524512f7…8cc448305a…f3a1680ffd…e543512eec…06885ce378…1002e78dce…b2a62542af…ba5ecb0126…0dd3f89c99…a628914ada…f09dd55fd3…1edf00fbe7…ed306+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4718…61cf | 423,660,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4762…976f | 420,390,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 88aa…c8cf | 421,350,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 730b…ff8f | 424,118,014 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 466b…94ff | 423,027,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4677…6e6f | 423,658,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 46f3…7c4f | 415,866,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 46f6…60cf | 422,297,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4719…298f | 417,789,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4722…9acf | 410,309,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4761…451f | 416,398,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| d79f…558f | 426,891,470 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| d853…3d5f | 421,699,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| d861…ee1f | 425,149,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b654…3c2f | 424,176,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 46eb…e1ff | 426,069,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6b0…99ef | 417,584,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6d6…b2df | 421,219,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6f4…881f | 424,456,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3efa…f5df | 425,771,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3f23…841f | 415,399,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3f24…78af | 418,427,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3f51…61df | 416,175,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 8a69…49bf | 417,434,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7336…4aaf | 423,870,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7357…9b8f | 422,086,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 73d8…040f | 419,556,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 73f1…9b6f | 420,019,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| fca0…eb4f | 425,100,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| fca1…b6bf | 424,151,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| fce9…101f | 417,656,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1c59…a3cf | 427,329,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1c70…cd8f | 426,258,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1cb4…f2cf | 425,628,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1cc6…f33f | 425,342,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6fc2…970f | 419,340,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6ff2…95ef | 424,918,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7010…cccf | 418,675,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b695…7cff | 427,324,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| dd49…d51f | 424,383,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 2ba7…4c4f | 419,761,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 878e…b03f | 424,251,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 580b…887f | 424,683,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5807…9cef | 423,840,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 57bf…350f | 425,549,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5d80…1e5f | 421,681,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5d51…5b6f | 426,426,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5d4b…9b3f | 421,834,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5cab…47bf | 425,353,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5caa…6f8f | 426,400,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 27e4…6bb5 | 411,265,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6a5f…ca8f | 424,976,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 69df…47bf | 413,414,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 69d2…796f | 421,327,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| de0a…ebcf | 422,484,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0ef6…164f | 423,904,619 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c62…bdff | 422,075,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0f0b…26ef | 427,366,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3fd1…fe7f | 422,602,292 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| dc8a…6a4f | 421,378,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |