co-buy(3)

rejected: only 1.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 45% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall

OOS effect

+10.0%

n=452684 out-of-sample

Hit rate

45%

1034272 occurrences

Raw → shrunk

+9.1% → +9.1%

empirical-Bayes

FDR q

0.000

significant

Exact rule

Expressive-Patterns DSL

Motif

recursive family

Statistics

effect, confidence & description length

95% CI+9.1% … +9.1%

Support1,034,272

OOS support452,684

MDL bits0

Case / control681942 / 805284

Motif size5n · 4e

Shape ide00000000000…

Groundingall

Other crews running this exact shape

27 related groundings

Crew	Support	OOS	Kept?
crew 113	20	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 30719	17	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 59	24	+22.0%	—	view →
crew 88	31	+20.6%	—	view →
crew 15	37	+16.4%	—	view →
crew 20	25	+15.5%	—	view →
crew 55	17	+15.0%	—	view →
crew 6	102	+14.7%	—	view →
crew 213	23	+13.9%	—	view →
crew 56	15	+13.6%	—	view →
crew 21	58	+12.2%	—	view →
crew 13	588	+11.8%	—	view →
crew 40	36	+11.8%	—	view →
crew 145	17	+11.3%	—	view →
crew 226	19	+11.1%	—	view →
crew 17893	118	+10.6%	—	view →
crew 16	25	+10.0%	—	view →
crew 2702	17	+10.0%	—	view →
crew 68	66	+7.1%	—	view →
crew 43	37	+7.1%	—	view →
crew 306	23	+3.8%	—	view →
crew 373	19	+2.4%	—	view →
crew 34	81	+1.9%	—	view →
crew 1968	403	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 2978	197	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 30096	18	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 47	17	-2.2%	—	view →

Supporting episodes

60 occurrences that induced this rule

Token	Slot	Return	Pump?	Crew
0ee1…79bf	423,288,672	+30.0%	✓	1573	replay
0ee2…d30f	423,356,498	+30.0%	✓	1573	replay
0ee2…bc8f	423,367,792	+30.0%	✓	889	replay
0ee2…958f	423,370,281	+30.0%	✓	56	replay
0ee3…38df	418,326,875	+30.0%	✓	140	replay
0ee4…4fdf	423,510,994	+30.0%	✓	56	replay
0ee4…3b5f	423,513,815	+30.0%	✓	373	replay
0ee4…a4bf	423,690,698	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0ee6…46cf	424,196,803	+30.0%	✓	1573	replay
0ee8…7aef	426,269,581	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0ee9…6cbf	425,199,591	+30.0%	✓	17032	replay
0eea…fa6f	421,227,036	+30.0%	✓	26779	replay
0f02…c36f	426,782,256	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0eea…a6af	413,974,365	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0eeb…8e0f	426,966,623	+30.0%	✓	113	replay
0eec…93cf	425,391,088	+30.0%	✓	110	replay
0eec…41bf	425,392,373	+30.0%	✓	2410	replay
0eed…e79f	425,419,545	+30.0%	✓	19	replay
0eed…bc3f	425,441,136	+30.0%	✓	190	replay
0eee…154f	425,444,727	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0eee…689f	425,447,002	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0eee…1d8f	420,156,870	+30.0%	✓	22573	replay
0eee…bfff	425,540,981	+30.0%	✓	3270	replay
0eef…85df	425,620,475	+30.0%	✓	68	replay
0eef…a01f	425,630,123	+30.0%	✓	68	replay
0eef…79cf	425,635,656	+30.0%	✓	20	replay
0eef…36af	416,796,524	+30.0%	✓	—	replay
0ef0…282f	425,668,780	+30.0%	✓	140	replay
0ef1…828f	425,682,972	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0ef2…7abf	425,692,907	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0ef2…3d7f	425,728,854	+30.0%	✓	20682	replay
0ef2…983f	413,133,208	+30.0%	✓	56	replay
0ef3…9d5f	425,790,707	+30.0%	✓	94	replay
0ef3…d5ef	425,790,860	+30.0%	✓	94	replay
0ef3…b40f	425,791,578	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0ef5…646f	425,863,402	+30.0%	✓	36	replay
0eea…366f	425,256,445	+30.0%	✓	20028	replay
0ef5…978f	425,867,906	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0f02…20ff	426,776,587	+30.0%	✓	31	replay
0f02…eacf	426,764,191	+30.0%	✓	9	replay
0f00…708f	421,034,485	+30.0%	✓	6	replay
0f00…384f	418,635,901	+30.0%	✓	15999	replay
0f00…f92f	426,696,017	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0f00…b45f	426,693,290	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0f00…636f	426,692,272	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0f00…fd5f	426,687,700	+30.0%	✓	19	replay
0f00…dfaf	426,687,261	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0f00…075f	426,684,572	+30.0%	✓	245	replay
0eff…6bcf	426,661,819	+30.0%	✓	309	replay
0ef6…68df	426,091,240	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0efd…bfff	426,545,112	+30.0%	✓	54	replay
0efd…364f	414,330,548	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0efc…8d2f	426,507,178	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0efc…788f	426,498,129	+30.0%	✓	13	replay
0efa…ee2f	426,466,769	+30.0%	✓	6	replay
0efe…58ef	426,624,377	+30.0%	✓	2789	replay
0ef7…cc5f	426,317,732	+30.0%	✓	7664	replay
0ef7…bd5f	416,247,597	+30.0%	✓	6	replay
0ef7…610f	426,309,532	+30.0%	✓	7664	replay
0ef7…f98f	426,314,751	+30.0%	✓	7664	replay