│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+3.8%
n=10 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
23 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.5% → +3.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.442
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.2% … +10.1%
Support23
OOS support10
MDL bits20
Case / control681942 / 805284
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 306
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | efbefcc7c4e006f14236ee8fd4dbac8d0fc619e9f11bda6c78202011f45de0e1 | 100% | 33 |
Other crews running this exact shape
27 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 113 | 20 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 17 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 24 | +22.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 31 | +20.6% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 37 | +16.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 17 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 102 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 23 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 58 | +12.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 588 | +11.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 36 | +11.8% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 17 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 19 | +11.1% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 118 | +10.6% | — | view → |
| all | 1034272 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 25 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 17 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 66 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 37 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 19 | +2.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 81 | +1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 403 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 197 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 17 | -2.2% | — | view → |
Crew 306
200 resolved wallets
b37e1…ad95bce542…08337efbef…de0e16a8a2…b708ac1e29…868ffc6cf0…6ff3062cdd…9898b94a29…2cf532e77c…166b00324d…449136d808…b3d6128f0b…030c850def…449c94d3d7…a0da85e600…c68d566df5…2732ac70e5…a2fdc63e69…86776fb4d5…8aebaf605b…7200f1111c…c649b1ad19…c847663c3c…b8ff660440…682244ab24…999519a41f…5845bcd303…9d1ec790c9…4c38c3e9dd…d4cfda3c92…fd3a185744…e210fedbef…1d98bb6124…d08ce84105…36e762517c…a13f804b2b…47114621d0…af9fa5fa45…3c627cef66…22202e3e8c…3ff0114161…b2a7e49833…0bc602ba86…23e07212e8…450f6a4dd3…9b9f066e1c…f9cd486d43…98ecc34796…98534c4feb…53010a0185…d0c6bcb781…a274f2b331…236726ccfd…751cd4d867…86946bf71b…47b1acb9b5…b99c8b09e8…540d26b058…6abf7f733e…80254346f5…ef2222493f…8475491bae…ddda225803…16eeba99b0…2464d5e092…2b319f7c7b…a14d61d7ff…a96e0a3e5d…8f19ce539a…5291d10354…13cd44212f…9c40106ca4…77d76e27cd…9b4a782d2e…c50d2ed804…07f6734167…8a5fcc0b5f…329b2e118d…e03b2fe383…666efd2834…207e4+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2b65…23df | 416,777,043 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8888…3b4f | 416,043,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3a9e…b9cf | 417,325,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 5dac…9c04 | 423,472,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| ee75…194f | 420,566,264 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8aa8…f5df | 425,218,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 733c…c39f | 422,395,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| fdca…419f | 419,944,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| b33f…0ecf | 427,410,798 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| b36b…dcae | 426,050,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6f3e…225f | 425,877,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8a7c…d42f | 409,557,810 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3e6f…723f | 419,088,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8a21…d57f | 417,310,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8597…f68f | 414,007,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7e57…6b6f | 420,090,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3e37…b1ff | 422,231,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 866a…930f | 418,882,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4116…91ef | 415,484,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4448…fa0f | 417,611,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| b8c2…a47f | 412,120,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| f0b2…72df | 420,255,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 5ed6…988f | 414,129,515 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6b4e…2a2f | 417,212,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2c8a…afcf | 426,086,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 417a…40ff | 417,911,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 718c…7ebf | 420,566,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 25ee…4caf | 417,912,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 255f…2bdf | 412,790,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8af6…7baf | 418,279,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 24b3…c08f | 410,208,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d8db…acef | 413,047,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 23bd…e8bf | 422,738,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7395…ca6f | 412,040,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d1c3…4d8f | 423,710,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bf65…925f | 424,179,357 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9020…dbff | 417,189,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6034…043f | 423,744,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 300f…a8df | 422,732,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 162b…980f | 410,031,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 04d2…87ef | 420,985,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 0547…067f | 415,942,740 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 055d…046f | 412,298,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4746…83ff | 417,927,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d5ed…b8af | 414,549,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4427…7dcf | 421,292,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7c14…84ff | 419,816,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7747…032f | 415,860,995 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4eec…e8df | 420,273,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d2b6…411f | 417,129,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4392…791f | 419,942,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9450…a32f | 424,932,163 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bc51…c09f | 422,179,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bce6…0bdf | 426,401,510 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d6f0…d14f | 427,679,453 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 917c…64bf | 418,353,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 23ca…80cf | 412,137,605 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| e524…b14f | 412,267,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3897…e303 | 418,163,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 85c0…ceaf | 426,675,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |