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rule detail

wash·co-buy(2)

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 56% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 431 anchor
OOS effect
+1.3%
n=23 out-of-sample
Hit rate
56%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.1% → +12.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.010
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.2% … +23.1%
Support18
OOS support23
MDL bits20
Case / control32878 / 36378
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 43
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w2wallet3f05ddc7dfd9d61d021580bee1f2efa9aa485c560602a194b4f53bc742fab11495%39
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 11344+30.0%—view →
crew 707716+30.0%—view →
crew 153317+28.5%✓view →
crew 4057+21.1%—view →
crew 2429421+14.2%—view →
crew 644225+13.3%—view →
crew 2161+13.3%—view →
crew 1668+12.0%—view →
crew 1530+11.6%—view →
crew 15520+11.2%—view →
crew 131011+10.7%—view →
all55734+9.0%—view →
crew 5973+8.8%—view →
crew 105048+8.4%—view →
crew 3420+8.0%—view →
crew 178932262+7.9%—view →
crew 866317+7.5%—view →
crew 6138+7.3%—view →
crew 1444136+6.4%—view →
crew 2539923+5.0%—view →
crew 6875+1.5%—view →
crew 1968551+0.0%—view →
crew 270239+0.0%—view →
crew 2978195+0.0%—view →
crew 367743+0.0%—view →
crew 417518+0.0%—view →
crew 1100915+0.0%—view →
crew 1268219+0.0%—view →
crew 32517-3.6%—view →
crew 33636-4.1%—view →
crew 5517-10.8%—view →
Crew 43
200 resolved wallets
3f05d…ab114622ac…1959de82a3…ac138208a1…957fd167de…758d1f0fcd…bcb67ec68e…38e0dce2f0…63ce836810…7b42b159f4…db4ba2cea5…3d680677f5…8bea1448b2…a8c1ef9316…74bf2c05cc…4621acad7c…17b029647f…29b6fb7e38…743f44bd34…5f9cd635e6…fb502bf20a…fe2bf14d1d…6e072d30fb…25ee433f91…484a372fcf…e66e132399…87a462007c…fc7a5664f9…f209ef6b4f…18df011c7b…3ae248e1c6…2a7b90eb10…846a3422ff…7d789a0efa…856e5cbf02…38451f8c8e…475496b27d…bf816a0788…e1ea83a4f1…d4df19152b…9132285da3…4fc49ea8f5…1cc3a29f74…198c751a55…3ab50f8180…ef48c4ce1f…76cc095a7d…f49765035b…b9f81a035b…effeef448a…a821839256…ac84ffc635…ba9c24491d…532e005dc9…a1c6cbaa58…bf2c56c1c3…7e1c49d261…f62d996cc5…ba3af6f6ad…0963d4a1b2…5ce6457ec9…f4480110d5…712a659bf6…34930c1aa6…5ad31c2272…fca5d3bc3c…44f1da3f07…18da4335b8…c8524512f7…8cc448305a…f3a1680ffd…e543512eec…06885ce378…1002e78dce…b2a62542af…ba5ecb0126…0dd3f89c99…a628914ada…f09dd55fd3…1edf00fbe7…ed306+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
b6d6…b2df421,219,456+30.0%✓43 replay
d04f…f8df425,038,777+30.0%✓43 replay
4177…4bff412,024,286+30.0%✓43 replay
d67d…561f412,327,201+30.0%✓43 replay
96bf…6e3f421,837,351+30.0%✓43 replay
76c9…461f427,366,469+30.0%✓43 replay
142c…284f417,193,447+30.0%✓43 replay
08d2…bf0f426,468,680+30.0%✓43 replay
8112…9d6f419,523,912+30.0%✓43 replay
9519…038f410,184,988+30.0%✓43 replay
363b…d94f421,280,391+30.0%✓43 replay
7e20…9cff417,261,953+30.0%✓43 replay
0ef3…dfff425,840,126+30.0%✓43 replay
88d3…830f423,843,893+30.0%✓43 replay
8cdf…1d0d425,849,364+30.0%✓43 replay
a7a8…0dff424,251,804+30.0%✓43 replay
0eed…4b1f425,441,483+30.0%✓43 replay
0ef3…388f425,838,421+30.0%✓43 replay
980e…ef3f423,405,621+30.0%✓43 replay
5d94…168f419,423,724+30.0%✓43 replay
794d…fd0f423,808,278+30.0%✓43 replay
41db…36ef418,159,443+30.0%✓43 replay
a41a…a30f416,408,390+30.0%✓43 replay
c337…3b2f419,035,648+30.0%✓43 replay
5b94…07cf427,526,548+30.0%✓43 replay
a7e3…ce2f418,234,800+30.0%✓43 replay
f45d…dc6f427,526,912+30.0%✓43 replay
68c4…30cf418,473,631+30.0%✓43 replay
33bf…f3ef427,270,224+30.0%✓43 replay
c885…196f425,285,080+30.0%✓43 replay
6a1c…48ef416,744,976+30.0%✓43 replay
548c…3c8f424,161,887+30.0%✓43 replay
a8a6…860f422,799,311+30.0%✓43 replay
0b8e…089f418,022,803+30.0%✓43 replay
10bc…b4cf417,262,507+30.0%✓43 replay
6ea2…8d8f426,336,189+30.0%✓43 replay
6fd6…9d5f410,769,070+30.0%✓43 replay
877e…65df417,249,230+30.0%✓43 replay
0eef…9acf425,636,630+30.0%✓43 replay
fa30…c7ff421,932,145+30.0%✓43 replay
ad3f…080f421,730,041+30.0%✓43 replay
ffcb…328f425,844,560+30.0%✓43 replay
120a…fc1f424,312,760+30.0%✓43 replay
0ef5…c70f425,859,506+30.0%✓43 replay
13e4…f6ef415,168,464+30.0%✓43 replay
ad1b…b5df425,774,840+30.0%✓43 replay
f50d…e14f417,253,125+30.0%✓43 replay
13b9…ec3f422,977,446+30.0%✓43 replay
bb57…9f4f423,828,494+30.0%✓43 replay
baed…14cf426,097,080+30.0%✓43 replay
0a81…554f417,335,250+30.0%✓43 replay
2044…1abf426,318,387+30.0%✓43 replay
6cd1…829f423,984,845+30.0%✓43 replay
01d6…681f410,435,854+30.0%✓43 replay
d997…4b6f417,275,460+30.0%✓43 replay
b5a3…897f424,854,758+30.0%✓43 replay
01eb…2adf410,440,266+30.0%✓43 replay
b685…164f420,704,540+30.0%✓43 replay
3fae…6a0f426,331,555+30.0%✓43 replay
dc66…a27f424,307,925+30.0%✓43 replay