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rule detail

wash·co-buy(2)

rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+9.0%
n=13509 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
55734 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.7% → +10.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.6% … +10.9%
Support55,734
OOS support13,509
MDL bits0
Case / control32878 / 36378
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 11344+30.0%—view →
crew 707716+30.0%—view →
crew 153317+28.5%✓view →
crew 4057+21.1%—view →
crew 2429421+14.2%—view →
crew 644225+13.3%—view →
crew 2161+13.3%—view →
crew 1668+12.0%—view →
crew 1530+11.6%—view →
crew 15520+11.2%—view →
crew 131011+10.7%—view →
crew 5973+8.8%—view →
crew 105048+8.4%—view →
crew 3420+8.0%—view →
crew 178932262+7.9%—view →
crew 866317+7.5%—view →
crew 6138+7.3%—view →
crew 1444136+6.4%—view →
crew 2539923+5.0%—view →
crew 6875+1.5%—view →
crew 4318+1.3%—view →
crew 1968551+0.0%—view →
crew 270239+0.0%—view →
crew 2978195+0.0%—view →
crew 367743+0.0%—view →
crew 417518+0.0%—view →
crew 1100915+0.0%—view →
crew 1268219+0.0%—view →
crew 32517-3.6%—view →
crew 33636-4.1%—view →
crew 5517-10.8%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
2b40…143f417,155,764+30.0%✓6 replay
2aeb…3d6f418,511,876+30.0%✓22054 replay
2abb…eff7413,851,520+30.0%✓13 replay
2aad…db4f416,493,912+30.0%✓3677 replay
2aa9…e67f413,593,705+30.0%✓17893 replay
b779…30ff418,639,283+30.0%✓17893 replay
b765…f34f421,719,982+30.0%✓13 replay
b763…ccff416,801,113+30.0%✓6 replay
b731…690f421,200,252+30.0%✓13 replay
b728…70df411,097,039+30.0%✓1968 replay
b6e3…ed9f419,305,544+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6a0…459f412,143,758+30.0%✓1968 replay
b692…aa4f416,246,119+30.0%✓15 replay
b66d…f25f422,621,583+30.0%✓17893 replay
8778…2ddf414,609,445+30.0%✓213 replay
874b…9c2f423,599,583+30.0%✓1533 replay
58c2…439f418,516,571+30.0%✓11009 replay
57bf…fa6f416,621,731+30.0%✓6 replay
5d4b…9fbf418,403,218+30.0%✓6436 replay
5d0b…39bf412,692,980+30.0%✓1968 replay
5cc7…2d6f418,767,787+30.0%✓17893 replay
5ca6…842f416,920,499+30.0%✓13 replay
2836…e46f418,977,461+30.0%✓51 replay
27e9…a6e0422,745,274+30.0%✓13 replay
27a9…16ff414,923,813+30.0%✓13 replay
2761…c86f417,358,967+30.0%✓17893 replay
273e…8fbf413,087,020+30.0%✓6 replay
270f…b37f420,392,028+30.0%✓6274 replay
6a92…cb3f415,029,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
69b9…2b2f420,616,518+30.0%✓13 replay
697d…ac7f418,531,276+30.0%✓6 replay
0ef5…646f425,863,402+30.0%✓36 replay
0eed…bc3f425,441,136+30.0%✓190 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
0e96…033f417,813,351+30.0%✓13 replay
3c4d…26bf412,930,549+30.0%✓13 replay
72c4…49df426,752,278+30.0%✓13 replay
7293…73af425,283,825+30.0%✓625 replay
d3f0…af4f417,924,852+30.0%✓13 replay
d383…1e1f422,166,647+30.0%✓13 replay
d353…badf412,124,152+30.0%✓21 replay
d353…c9cf413,043,407+30.0%✓13 replay
3fae…914f410,363,953+30.0%✓17893 replay
d32a…54bf415,663,980+30.0%✓17893 replay
d32a…41bf417,230,992+30.0%✓13398 replay
d2a8…9aaf420,215,752+30.0%✓13 replay
d2a2…aa3f419,661,753+30.0%✓13 replay
c3ad…4d9f419,334,613+30.0%✓113 replay
c39d…53bf427,111,681+30.0%✓88 replay
c2f6…343f413,176,276+30.0%✓30719 replay
4064…120f420,346,614+30.0%✓17893 replay
d338…720f422,288,938+30.0%✓14441 replay
8ae2…bc0f418,198,800+30.0%✓17893 replay
8b07…700f418,733,622+30.0%✓13 replay
731f…036f417,450,583+30.0%✓16 replay
7367…113f421,410,740+30.0%✓13 replay
73fd…6def417,477,320+30.0%✓6 replay
fce8…811f414,423,802+30.0%✓1050 replay
fc0a…a58f416,235,514+30.0%✓2978 replay
742c…6eca416,172,833+30.0%✓13 replay