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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 51% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+13.3%
n=14 out-of-sample
Hit rate
51%
61 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.2% → +12.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+8.1% … +18.3%
Support61
OOS support14
MDL bits20
Case / control32878 / 36378
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 21
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w2 | wallet | 8c3f349b332aabfd346103b6f26eb138dd71f74d9376268d24bb8cb8eadc3086 | 99% | 74 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 113 | 44 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 16 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1533 | 17 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 40 | 57 | +21.1% | — | view → |
| crew 24294 | 21 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 25 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 68 | +12.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 30 | +11.6% | — | view → |
| crew 155 | 20 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 1011 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| all | 55734 | +9.0% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 73 | +8.8% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 48 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 20 | +8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 2262 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 8663 | 17 | +7.5% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 138 | +7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 36 | +6.4% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 23 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 75 | +1.5% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | +1.3% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 551 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 39 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 195 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 43 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4175 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11009 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 325 | 17 | -3.6% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 36 | -4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 17 | -10.8% | — | view → |
Crew 21
200 resolved wallets
bfe25…94ee48c3f3…c3086f4c88…e78577a27f…b1523ece4a…544181636d…e9260d8301…bc9b8a43a5…44c25fa6c7…046a743e3d…59ea5dbd25…ce9438c099…ea52e8e3f9…1ba4758e68…dfcf4fb1bc…40a67ec8ef…0bc869c92d…503b740570…35e2195656…a0858cfd93…25e1ce03a4…86ac82d159…ca226e601c…8e9ec041a7…c1af04ccf9…76e95facb2…7732be27e3…2ea18f0ea7…ef348ac4cb…084938f248…a7d1b5586f…1641e3bbee…7c20a03c9e…fb0a245dd2…ffa67f46f9…5193bab69a…2fd50a213c…0a63a7dd04…bd6e1f7e01…dd89e1fe6e…17dfbbf16a…1ed27c7d0b…9c676f93b6…7a93505575…392d905d02…d15effe06e…e3202214f8…52299258da…d1b9a48470…0fa0e763ca…db4811ce8e…bc3014d8d5…30edf75222…190fff8dd7…5ff5fbbe3a…887c96cb91…13c2a09a9e…46242b6dda…0e4991b025…489fd0bd73…4d22609ff6…cd03567ccb…8ea34ee3ba…b66917dd53…719370c610…d11be76a51…f408211e04…09cbe1afa6…7f1a9d1b4b…d209598188…c1906a3902…0ea66514ff…8083e47040…93ffb6e07c…90ebc72c66…e0a0247877…f9e474beb8…b802c9a619…024627ec14…e575ea3fcc…b85a5+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ef0e…e9ff | 412,235,117 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 222c…844f | 412,147,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d353…badf | 412,124,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 70b1…3d7f | 424,079,082 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b8fd…5b6f | 416,166,857 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2c93…901f | 422,341,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4126…85ef | 411,897,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 6124…fabf | 416,162,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 402a…7480 | 411,256,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b71d…3c8f | 415,685,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4585…c94f | 422,728,080 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8ce1…c38f | 419,812,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2d6d…c7ef | 412,086,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 76d1…1e5f | 424,310,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 76fb…5eff | 410,350,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0143…da8f | 417,785,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 467d…352f | 420,677,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 91a4…091f | 410,399,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3012…9e2f | 421,595,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 30de…9eff | 412,141,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 05af…59a1 | 417,235,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3373…233f | 411,010,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| bf43…ca5e | 411,481,641 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d8a7…a373 | 417,970,853 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| c61d…a95f | 416,921,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 793a…6d7f | 421,594,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2c78…b1ef | 411,978,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0a46…983f | 425,589,132 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0ded…cd6f | 412,154,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2d34…c78f | 410,909,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3aff…f5df | 412,443,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 856e…b72f | 416,538,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 6d53…4394 | 416,355,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9db2…9400 | 416,086,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 89b9…9a1f | 426,309,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| a11b…4c4f | 411,043,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 11eb…27e0 | 411,098,892 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| aff6…7baf | 419,055,941 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3912…442f | 411,731,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| a624…209f | 415,397,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 16d8…8acf | 413,428,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b291…d4df | 417,552,973 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| aecd…20af | 414,950,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 1bb5…3aff | 414,567,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d649…eb3f | 424,100,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4438…5f33 | 413,855,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9ac7…b7bf | 416,748,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 96b5…fc4f | 411,495,646 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 5b81…a9bf | 412,095,821 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 5b92…b89f | 412,257,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 744f…4e1f | 414,795,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 6f46…8de9 | 413,830,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 635f…c6ff | 414,936,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 772f…db1b | 419,045,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 99ca…e4df | 417,010,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 71ed…ad7c | 414,960,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| bb1c…0fbf | 410,427,058 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 7598…bdbf | 420,574,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| ef14…323f | 412,310,718 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 762f…e49f | 413,849,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |