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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 22% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+2.5%
n=119549 out-of-sample
Hit rate
22%
248963 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.4% → +3.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.3% … +3.5%
Support248,963
OOS support119,549
MDL bits0
Case / control82978 / 285648
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
38 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 2702 | 19 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 227 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 83 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 33 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 325 | 27 | +6.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 58 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 49 | +3.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 45 | +2.1% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 80 | +1.6% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 22 | +1.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 272 | +1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 28 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 46 | +0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 155 | 15 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 50 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 2225 | 19 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 164 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 18 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 323 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 126 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4355 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18954 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 50 | -0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 33 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 47 | -2.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 22 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 42 | -3.6% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 51 | -4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 23 | -4.9% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 17 | -7.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 16 | -8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 20 | -8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 22 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c395…5f3f | 423,628,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 203 | replay |
| c391…e76f | 419,224,321 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| c38e…f46f | 420,221,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c384…502f | 420,392,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| c36f…ac7f | 415,382,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| c332…a5df | 410,781,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 28498 | replay |
| c328…278f | 422,420,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12012 | replay |
| c31e…b979 | 419,773,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4698 | replay |
| c2be…61af | 416,843,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 4093…31ef | 424,121,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6794 | replay |
| 4017…53df | 416,263,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4016…d1ff | 419,301,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3fcb…155f | 424,910,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3fb9…2c55 | 415,449,383 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27521 | replay |
| 3fb7…838f | 415,849,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3f94…0e4f | 420,845,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| dc8a…6a4f | 421,378,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| dc7a…284f | 423,005,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| dc0a…390f | 414,926,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1748 | replay |
| dbfc…9c9f | 426,601,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14702 | replay |
| dbf3…c18f | 410,874,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 155 | replay |
| dbd7…e32f | 417,440,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| dbb8…204f | 420,421,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dba0…f8bf | 424,249,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| db9b…5daf | 419,339,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 73d8…040f | 419,556,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| de1a…804f | 409,662,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| de03…bf7f | 409,665,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 71 | replay |
| ddf8…1c3f | 413,843,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15547 | replay |
| ddf4…9e4f | 415,364,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| ddeb…9def | 412,437,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| ddd1…9eff | 414,472,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| dda9…bfbf | 424,268,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10551 | replay |
| dd9c…4f1f | 416,354,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dd97…b0af | 426,432,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dd86…d80f | 424,605,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dd7e…003f | 416,504,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| dd6b…705f | 410,324,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11028 | replay |
| dd4b…d57f | 418,227,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22610 | replay |
| 7034…09df | 427,558,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 54 | replay |
| 701e…418f | 409,901,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1144 | replay |
| 701e…5cbf | 425,315,510 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 7010…761f | 421,882,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1590 | replay |
| de76…722f | 417,845,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1bb1…5abf | 411,996,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 1bb1…1dcf | 418,220,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1ba0…df72 | 412,119,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12743 | replay |
| 1b9a…297f | 417,995,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| fd13…927f | 411,431,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 394 | replay |
| 6fd9…07ff | 416,396,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| fcd9…e64a | 416,947,367 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fcd7…b05f | 420,561,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fcd2…bbcf | 412,903,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| fc9e…dcbf | 411,276,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16406 | replay |
| fc68…1a6f | 421,064,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fcec…badf | 412,033,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| fc13…279c | 414,834,772 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| fc60…accf | 413,126,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 741a…edef | 420,877,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 7420…5d2f | 412,027,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 341 | replay |