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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 25% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-8.0%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
25%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.1% → +5.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.230
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.4% … +12.6%
Support16
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control82978 / 285648
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 145
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 4574484832428bcd1ef6200dd905eff7662232236e0d65680f2f9bef821e39f4 | 95% | 20 |
Other crews running this exact shape
38 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 2702 | 19 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 227 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 83 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 33 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 325 | 27 | +6.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 58 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 49 | +3.6% | — | view → |
| all | 248963 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 45 | +2.1% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 80 | +1.6% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 22 | +1.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 272 | +1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 28 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 46 | +0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 155 | 15 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 50 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 2225 | 19 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 164 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 18 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 323 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 126 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3664 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4355 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18954 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 50 | -0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 33 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 47 | -2.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 22 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 42 | -3.6% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 51 | -4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 23 | -4.9% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 17 | -7.0% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 20 | -8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 22 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 145
200 resolved wallets
45744…e39f4684a6…1e30f6e9ef…601d1bd6e5…a69026bcf7…4c477a105e…a2c6783c44…cbacfd8770…1d9c6106b5…fd59e4b47c…4598bc5c42…868b4cc27c…9735af8178…9603e9db65…0c0267ea16…92394098cb…35ac4e2918…2f88c7254b…af3da333e5…b97aac6360…aeef290a00…a0069d92c6…cfab0508a8…d0cba0c4c3…0c6c82d8df…2435c8293c…ed31e91113…443aad5035…201bc6a2d0…d1e1dc1198…d3bed203aa…9a1ca4e4f2…dd454e5a19…f5cd57cb8e…ac9bd7efa4…db4778c8de…02151bc705…ce6cb7c0dd…a0f38c030a…b4eaf67cbd…bd925b3fee…11fc19d698…f2d04c1d40…d88a7e27ef…e063ee4735…8dae6787f4…5ee7735579…5064c3d004…c3e08c2d94…018f1e0601…ee9dbd11d0…e8d006ec40…90fc051f85…4afc156fb0…f0fb5c9a84…b1ddb7508e…17b9cd2d56…644306c944…27b3303d54…12dd9b0c7a…2677196008…8cf80d1fbe…34534becb7…5152bb7f0c…5f5ab1e1c0…40e30fd511…c67c94ebbf…dc3915cc36…fdba9d0819…50c911ea6f…bc281e7d2f…8955acafbe…4401a11a42…4814fcecbb…90bc3a1d66…be82a2c10b…153055975d…55c6e6ef97…af757cf231…53ceb7197a…f7b68+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| eec2…9bdf | 424,918,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f152…d70f | 419,977,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 49e0…702f | 417,261,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 117b…299f | 427,645,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5a8a…05cf | 420,144,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b6bf…ff4f | 423,967,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4126…735f | 413,034,093 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d4ca…0b2f | 418,411,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| de1f…fd3f | 416,436,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2df6…ec0f | 421,035,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 35c8…b17f | 424,991,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| be95…a54f | 420,023,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 54e6…99cf | 421,162,388 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 368f…47af | 423,376,221 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9b48…deff | 415,727,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 37a1…66ef | 422,001,624 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0ce9…6d4f | 423,245,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d11…ff4f | 420,024,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 12ab…d18f | 415,456,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| a2c3…234f | 412,429,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ae34…e6cf | 424,998,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 454d…73df | 419,057,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3845…da9f | 416,421,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 46d3…745f | 423,863,580 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 19e4…6d9f | 419,976,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 177f…9aff | 420,777,472 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7452…bf0f | 419,917,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8285…9dff | 422,828,057 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bdf6…2e0f | 420,469,388 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 999e…33cf | 423,617,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b82e…504f | 419,114,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e3e6…560f | 419,365,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2b7c…e1cf | 418,331,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2a25…136f | 419,824,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bbdf…824f | 415,374,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0aef…8e2f | 415,760,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ca0f…ef4f | 419,977,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| faa6…e56f | 413,206,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bd91…6d6f | 425,734,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 1612…078f | 414,088,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5e2e…31ef | 419,825,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8a62…8b9f | 421,686,678 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| c65f…875f | 411,815,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ca27…f8bf | 418,209,395 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 1bf4…3f8f | 417,362,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0f00…ca9f | 426,688,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bdd8…821f | 416,861,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0516…a53f | 420,228,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3425…135f | 415,294,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 32e6…dd9f | 422,388,739 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3808…53ff | 412,439,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 89b0…f1df | 412,598,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3dd3…92cf | 419,153,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8b50…106f | 421,769,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 74c5…2e8f | 421,524,117 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 619f…edef | 421,686,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6cc7…aa0f | 420,104,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| a7a0…81cf | 418,289,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| a81f…671f | 417,502,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2f2e…0bbf | 418,705,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |