co-buy(2)

rejected: only 0.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 7% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 341 anchor

OOS effect

+0.8%

n=21 out-of-sample

Hit rate

28 occurrences

Raw → shrunk

-1.4% → -0.7%

empirical-Bayes

FDR q

0.792

not significant

Exact rule

Expressive-Patterns DSL

Motif

fixed motif

◇ gold ring = frozen constant

Statistics

effect, confidence & description length

95% CI-6.1% … +3.2%

Support28

OOS support21

MDL bits20

Case / control82978 / 285648

Motif size5n · 4e

Shape ide00000000000…

Groundingcrew 34

Anchors

frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint

Node	Role	Address	Invariance	Support
w0	wallet	ac6ad31db0a14378a0e63f99f790b711c6406e5b0e6b7a18583971e93d723859	96%	47

Other crews running this exact shape

38 related groundings

Crew	Support	OOS	Kept?
crew 2702	19	+7.4%	—	view →
crew 13	227	+7.1%	—	view →
crew 88	83	+7.1%	—	view →
crew 113	33	+6.6%	—	view →
crew 325	27	+6.0%	—	view →
crew 19197	58	+5.2%	—	view →
crew 213	49	+3.6%	—	view →
all	248963	+2.5%	—	view →
crew 6	45	+2.1%	—	view →
crew 17893	80	+1.6%	—	view →
crew 43	22	+1.3%	—	view →
crew 68	272	+1.0%	—	view →
crew 226	46	+0.5%	—	view →
crew 155	15	+0.3%	—	view →
crew 40	50	+0.3%	—	view →
crew 2225	19	+0.3%	—	view →
crew 21	164	+0.1%	—	view →
crew 834	18	+0.1%	—	view →
crew 1049	15	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 1968	323	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 2536	16	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 2978	126	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 3664	18	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 4355	15	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 18954	20	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 25572	28	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 55	50	-0.3%	—	view →
crew 56	33	-0.8%	—	view →
crew 59	47	-2.2%	—	view →
crew 12	22	-2.7%	—	view →
crew 31	42	-3.6%	—	view →
crew 373	51	-4.0%	—	view →
crew 186	17	-4.8%	—	view →
crew 110	23	-4.9%	—	view →
crew 47	17	-7.0%	—	view →
crew 145	16	-8.0%	—	view →
crew 341	20	-8.0%	—	view →
crew 252	22	-20.0%	—	view →

Crew 34

200 resolved wallets

ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more

Supporting episodes

60 occurrences that induced this rule

Token	Slot	Return	Pump?	Crew
c384…502f	420,392,211	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b68c…fd5f	427,510,705	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
1c62…13af	412,455,086	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8703…f96f	420,075,425	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0ec0…d2ef	425,172,756	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5884…e3ff	419,560,136	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fdb6…1acf	413,075,391	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
db9b…5daf	419,339,950	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fe3e…b6ff	422,345,728	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fe64…3c8f	421,962,294	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fea4…e4df	425,773,335	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5d80…9cff	416,891,249	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5cb9…e40f	425,422,018	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7e76…ee8f	423,656,907	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dd9c…4f1f	416,354,623	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dbb8…204f	420,421,404	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4772…20cf	424,890,571	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dd86…d80f	424,605,259	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6fd9…07ff	416,396,140	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0efc…8d2f	426,507,178	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b70d…4d7f	410,709,848	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f2c…e91f	426,734,988	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f58…abff	416,910,334	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
69a6…8f1f	421,963,926	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8570…ac7f	425,445,134	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7380…0a8f	419,691,736	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0f04…129f	426,964,196	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
1c3b…7ccf	423,075,067	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b83f…5d2f	425,844,906	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b828…8d0f	424,538,916	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
48b2…35df	423,206,909	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d96c…b5af	427,043,951	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
898e…b0ff	417,183,800	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
88d8…e7ef	418,482,431	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
59e8…33cf	419,561,068	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b4b9…5c0f	421,818,867	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
74ad…29af	426,328,992	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7a66…4a3f	426,973,925	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4102…6baf	417,209,657	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
df3b…e85f	421,922,769	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2961…a0ff	418,661,558	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7442…10ef	420,628,660	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
40f7…16df	426,914,846	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3c2f…893f	418,711,726	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2881…ee8f	425,911,706	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
289a…f7de	422,807,697	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b2ce…45df	426,998,894	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
48c0…666f	421,983,496	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5eb0…8caf	416,449,731	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5ea9…839f	425,369,615	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
74eb…178f	425,087,336	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4824…d4bf	416,482,992	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3b84…a28f	427,602,357	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
ba7c…863f	416,421,954	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
82cd…f9ff	425,365,896	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
64e8…13df	424,431,286	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8239…338f	419,573,795	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
33cf…22ef	423,082,201	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
98cf…fbbf	426,776,863	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
02e4…fa4f	416,518,224	+30.0%	✓	34	replay