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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+15.8%
n=24 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.8% → +10.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.006
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.1% … +18.5%
Support25
OOS support24
MDL bits20
Case / control51482 / 48514
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12252
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w1 | wallet | 167049a3b4bff88efd32c6f5cdb0b209596e32da4a850af351c20ebe1d09993e | 94% | 46 |
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 211 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8889 | 23 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 21 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 37 | +21.7% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 75 | +21.4% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 63 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8581 | 28 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6017 | 15 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 36 | +17.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 73 | +16.1% | ✓ | view → |
| all | 70600 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 23 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 88 | +10.6% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 37 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 3102 | 16 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 26 | +4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 29 | +3.5% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 15 | +3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 28 | +2.4% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2410 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5698 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25251 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 67 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 25 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 45 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 12252
4 resolved wallets
7cb7d…e34cfc4134…6895a16704…9993ec75ff…f13ad
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fdda…d2ff | 422,989,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 7302…fc4f | 425,340,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 4a2b…ee0f | 419,472,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 7cac…d90f | 417,974,525 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 9460…49cf | 422,990,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 6114…4f1f | 422,247,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 02df…e3bf | 426,591,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 8e77…f7cf | 419,101,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 4bc1…1a5f | 426,604,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| d2ed…a30f | 424,917,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| bdbf…6aaf | 419,054,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 96f3…0eef | 420,556,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 0969…39af | 422,267,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 8776…057f | 419,214,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 8112…1f9f | 426,850,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 333d…879f | 419,688,674 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 83c3…22cf | 417,513,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a492…dadf | 419,266,954 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| c9b9…63ff | 418,200,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 5e65…79df | 423,784,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 8050…5eff | 417,551,342 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 0fc9…c9af | 422,275,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 6fe9…2cdf | 422,115,377 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 3d2a…94d9 | 421,657,607 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a8a3…674f | 419,192,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 8e94…298f | 418,138,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 12b1…349f | 420,746,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| d037…b8ef | 425,347,534 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a537…3bef | 425,100,377 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a5e9…c27f | 423,783,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 88c7…9d4f | 420,562,921 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a747…77ff | 418,162,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| d4de…68ff | 424,916,969 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 940a…0d4f | 418,204,733 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a99c…4b7f | 418,200,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 9689…65df | 418,160,711 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| bd86…53ff | 427,049,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| b71d…f6af | 427,047,031 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 5cbc…2bbf | 423,204,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 28ab…fecf | 420,754,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 293d…cb0f | 419,890,635 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| ce83…0ecf | 419,004,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 2987…224f | 419,683,453 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| cec7…946f | 420,712,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 9dac…faef | 427,078,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| e496…1acf | 419,014,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 991d…46df | 417,513,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 5cdc…cfcf | 417,726,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 3291…ad3f | 417,544,310 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| bf79…ce9f | 417,964,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 844d…faef | 423,211,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 46d0…cd3f | 419,037,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 69e8…bb6f | 417,721,763 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 4d11…674f | 418,145,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| a621…f9bf | 423,787,458 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 8224…50ef | 417,497,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| cf51…debf | 419,819,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| cabb…0c3f | 421,409,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 7dcc…646f | 419,819,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |
| 657f…5f1f | 422,261,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12252 | replay |