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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
31 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.7% → +6.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.150
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.2% … +14.6%
Support31
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control51482 / 48514
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15618
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 20386ae9eb617ea911d226951027860d65437eebc27aa365c264dda84c22f8d6 | 100% | 31 |
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 211 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8889 | 23 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 21 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 37 | +21.7% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 75 | +21.4% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 63 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8581 | 28 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6017 | 15 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 36 | +17.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 73 | +16.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 12252 | 25 | +15.8% | — | view → |
| all | 70600 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 23 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 36 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 88 | +10.6% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 37 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 3102 | 16 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 26 | +4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 29 | +3.5% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 15 | +3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 28 | +2.4% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2410 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5698 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25251 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 67 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 25 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 45 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 15618
4 resolved wallets
20386…2f8d6f8ec9…1767fc9142…819c7d9590…4b96e
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3fc0…e2ff | 417,223,461 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 2860…5f1f | 412,414,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| dcf1…a67f | 417,003,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 0f61…049f | 415,607,053 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 8c05…483f | 413,224,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 2ae5…8b4f | 417,214,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 7f12…5f6f | 415,644,089 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 448d…fdef | 415,840,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 478f…8cdf | 417,623,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 9355…1b2f | 417,409,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| c24e…4a0f | 416,114,425 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 685f…73bf | 420,389,947 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 8581…bc2f | 417,649,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 74bc…f1ef | 415,614,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 755e…533f | 417,679,243 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| f8be…0d8f | 415,609,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 6fae…5c4f | 415,711,882 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| eb96…a17f | 415,629,210 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| ce78…e0cf | 417,462,797 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 260c…e61f | 417,213,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| a3dc…448f | 417,546,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 82af…5e3f | 417,675,935 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 77ac…67df | 416,112,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 2f4d…ba2f | 417,651,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| c636…6b0f | 417,381,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 526a…4adf | 416,050,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 7004…b81f | 415,635,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 1e98…5b8f | 415,653,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 6920…645f | 416,126,394 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 565a…f8ef | 416,985,543 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 6b9c…9e0f | 415,641,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 10c3…bf7f | 415,854,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 5cab…e78f | 417,380,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 5d62…494f | 417,629,058 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| d0d8…facf | 413,775,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 0f9e…9ccf | 417,547,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 171f…f10f | 415,826,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 8b93…2d1f | 417,594,633 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| f2bf…8e3f | 415,654,394 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| b334…38ff | 415,709,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| ad0c…ea1f | 417,604,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 6e4d…623f | 414,257,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 63be…2bbf | 415,648,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| b479…bd8f | 415,813,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 9831…992f | 417,651,761 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 1d00…084f | 415,830,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| be35…af4f | 415,879,285 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 1f94…2eaf | 415,706,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| e418…f35f | 417,626,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 64f0…809f | 416,992,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| ff7c…475f | 416,999,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 04f4…4fcf | 415,625,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 699a…07cf | 415,621,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| dc34…feef | 417,410,169 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| bfbd…1f8f | 418,034,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 4264…5aff | 417,223,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| b180…2d7f | 417,619,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 4a65…47cf | 416,007,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| e9b4…3e1f | 416,996,282 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |
| 43f9…87bf | 417,415,770 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15618 | replay |