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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 33% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+6.8%
n=9 out-of-sample
Hit rate
33%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.8% → +3.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.518
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-10.7% … +12.4%
Support15
OOS support9
MDL bits20
Case / control697547 / 1017322
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 145
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 4574484832428bcd1ef6200dd905eff7662232236e0d65680f2f9bef821e39f4 | 100% | 24 |
Other crews running this exact shape
24 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 30719 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 29 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 26 | +17.9% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 19 | +13.7% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 37 | +12.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 55 | +11.8% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 96 | +11.7% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 527 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 26 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| all | 1195030 | +8.7% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 30 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 16 | +6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 50 | +6.4% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 63 | +6.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 105 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 17 | +4.9% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 23 | +3.8% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 74 | +0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 429 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 201 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 145
200 resolved wallets
45744…e39f4684a6…1e30f6e9ef…601d1bd6e5…a69026bcf7…4c477a105e…a2c6783c44…cbacfd8770…1d9c6106b5…fd59e4b47c…4598bc5c42…868b4cc27c…9735af8178…9603e9db65…0c0267ea16…92394098cb…35ac4e2918…2f88c7254b…af3da333e5…b97aac6360…aeef290a00…a0069d92c6…cfab0508a8…d0cba0c4c3…0c6c82d8df…2435c8293c…ed31e91113…443aad5035…201bc6a2d0…d1e1dc1198…d3bed203aa…9a1ca4e4f2…dd454e5a19…f5cd57cb8e…ac9bd7efa4…db4778c8de…02151bc705…ce6cb7c0dd…a0f38c030a…b4eaf67cbd…bd925b3fee…11fc19d698…f2d04c1d40…d88a7e27ef…e063ee4735…8dae6787f4…5ee7735579…5064c3d004…c3e08c2d94…018f1e0601…ee9dbd11d0…e8d006ec40…90fc051f85…4afc156fb0…f0fb5c9a84…b1ddb7508e…17b9cd2d56…644306c944…27b3303d54…12dd9b0c7a…2677196008…8cf80d1fbe…34534becb7…5152bb7f0c…5f5ab1e1c0…40e30fd511…c67c94ebbf…dc3915cc36…fdba9d0819…50c911ea6f…bc281e7d2f…8955acafbe…4401a11a42…4814fcecbb…90bc3a1d66…be82a2c10b…153055975d…55c6e6ef97…af757cf231…53ceb7197a…f7b68+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2b20…37ff | 424,976,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| c8e3…23df | 422,176,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| c935…bf1f | 420,023,398 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| eec2…9bdf | 424,918,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5898…084f | 423,012,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6a60…3adf | 422,197,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d3fa…83af | 425,102,738 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| feca…72ef | 421,717,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b3e2…091f | 414,394,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| cf10…4d5f | 419,842,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 261d…805f | 423,537,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d3d4…091f | 424,989,873 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d344…8f9f | 422,918,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6f6e…082f | 418,264,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 73ee…76df | 421,697,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b654…6b5f | 420,104,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0f91…670f | 418,472,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ddbf…281f | 412,466,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 416f…5f2f | 423,487,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b8be…83ff | 423,878,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ca1e…b06f | 412,441,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 91bf…216f | 425,963,892 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5e72…80df | 424,959,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d41a…85bf | 416,229,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ff08…46af | 416,235,925 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4084…d32f | 421,065,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d923…9b0f | 412,602,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| cf29…0b3f | 410,615,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 28e8…74ef | 423,258,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6baf…d8ef | 422,103,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 48aa…ac9f | 420,681,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 80bb…8eaf | 422,344,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8a4b…a8ef | 412,583,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7436…09cf | 420,105,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4395…c06f | 422,194,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7c30…b78f | 415,615,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d1bd…ab1f | 420,131,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d154…a04f | 411,746,708 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d1f…a18f | 420,728,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 81e5…d07f | 423,743,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f6f4…851f | 417,244,197 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 16cc…342f | 422,599,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 47fd…7eff | 423,760,659 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e423…ff8f | 410,602,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2df6…ec0f | 421,035,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2ed8…730f | 412,018,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 71d1…b89f | 419,926,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e403…e81f | 414,826,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8735…90cf | 423,126,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 717e…2dff | 421,721,627 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 02ae…afef | 424,139,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4f73…14ff | 421,520,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| df82…414f | 411,723,189 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2c39…a60f | 421,219,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 47ce…e38f | 415,306,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 647b…a46f | 427,430,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9611…b04f | 423,243,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4932…781f | 420,701,022 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bcd2…74af | 416,814,421 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f9f6…eb9f | 425,470,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |