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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 40% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.7%
n=519496 out-of-sample
Hit rate
40%
1195030 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.9% → +7.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+7.9% … +7.9%
Support1,195,030
OOS support519,496
MDL bits0
Case / control697547 / 1017322
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
24 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 30719 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 29 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 26 | +17.9% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 19 | +13.7% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 37 | +12.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 55 | +11.8% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 96 | +11.7% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 527 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 26 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 30 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 15 | +6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 16 | +6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 50 | +6.4% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 63 | +6.3% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 105 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 17 | +4.9% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 23 | +3.8% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 74 | +0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 429 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 201 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3b45…270f | 417,762,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1958 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b52…ee0f | 417,127,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b53…1dff | 410,989,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b57…291f | 410,853,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b59…a02f | 413,303,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b5a…767f | 412,577,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b5c…039f | 410,715,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3b63…fb5f | 412,148,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b63…8a5f | 423,623,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b66…45bf | 412,396,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b68…346f | 415,472,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3b6f…a5af | 425,378,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b7a…514a | 418,350,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b83…2c4f | 419,108,173 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3b94…72bf | 412,098,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6943 | replay |
| 3c4c…1c9f | 410,935,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3b94…8c8f | 427,400,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5130 | replay |
| 3b99…2126 | 421,460,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3b9a…debf | 426,350,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3ba0…331f | 417,823,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3ba0…b81f | 419,888,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3ba2…014f | 418,919,182 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3ba3…8ccf | 410,074,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4966 | replay |
| 3ba7…64ff | 411,483,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47422 | replay |
| 3ba7…f92f | 425,847,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3bb0…10ef | 416,536,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3bb2…52ef | 414,290,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bbd…48ff | 426,427,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25033 | replay |
| 3bc0…d33f | 427,406,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc2…dc9f | 421,256,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3bc3…198f | 420,287,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3bc5…854f | 415,159,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3bc6…9ddf | 426,495,957 | +30.0% | ✓ | 477 | replay |
| 3bc9…fe6f | 424,888,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc9…e4df | 425,107,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bca…0b5f | 426,117,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b94…f49f | 427,218,268 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3bd0…bacf | 415,223,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3c45…1e2f | 416,899,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 29176 | replay |
| 3c43…e1cf | 426,117,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c43…262f | 410,311,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3c33…078f | 417,396,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c2f…5aff | 424,075,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c26…6bcf | 426,025,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3505 | replay |
| 3c23…f29f | 409,909,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c20…2bcf | 419,697,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3c1b…5c9f | 417,279,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 54 | replay |
| 3c1b…c11f | 420,627,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 3c16…dabf | 427,282,702 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c15…1b2f | 418,939,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c11…ac7f | 424,283,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3c10…635f | 418,782,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c0a…39bf | 409,788,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 3bd2…cfef | 412,570,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c08…61bf | 411,719,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c05…ecdf | 418,662,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3c0a…366f | 417,599,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3be1…460f | 424,547,197 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20905 | replay |