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rule detail

co-buy(2)

rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 22% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 431 anchor
OOS effect
+6.4%
n=62 out-of-sample
Hit rate
22%
50 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.6% → +2.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.325
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.2% … +6.4%
Support50
OOS support62
MDL bits20
Case / control697547 / 1017322
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 43
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet3f05ddc7dfd9d61d021580bee1f2efa9aa485c560602a194b4f53bc742fab11499%111
Other crews running this exact shape
24 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 3071915+30.0%—view →
crew 8829+20.0%—view →
crew 5926+17.9%—view →
crew 2025+16.0%—view →
crew 5515+15.0%—view →
crew 1619+13.7%—view →
crew 1537+12.8%—view →
crew 2155+11.8%—view →
crew 696+11.7%—view →
crew 13527+10.7%—view →
crew 21326+10.4%—view →
all1195030+8.7%—view →
crew 22617+8.5%—view →
crew 4030+7.2%—view →
crew 14515+6.8%—view →
crew 11316+6.7%—view →
crew 6863+6.3%—view →
crew 17893105+5.4%—view →
crew 37317+4.9%—view →
crew 30623+3.8%—view →
crew 3474+0.5%—view →
crew 1968429+0.0%—view →
crew 2978201+0.0%—view →
crew 3009617+0.0%—view →
Crew 43
200 resolved wallets
3f05d…ab114622ac…1959de82a3…ac138208a1…957fd167de…758d1f0fcd…bcb67ec68e…38e0dce2f0…63ce836810…7b42b159f4…db4ba2cea5…3d680677f5…8bea1448b2…a8c1ef9316…74bf2c05cc…4621acad7c…17b029647f…29b6fb7e38…743f44bd34…5f9cd635e6…fb502bf20a…fe2bf14d1d…6e072d30fb…25ee433f91…484a372fcf…e66e132399…87a462007c…fc7a5664f9…f209ef6b4f…18df011c7b…3ae248e1c6…2a7b90eb10…846a3422ff…7d789a0efa…856e5cbf02…38451f8c8e…475496b27d…bf816a0788…e1ea83a4f1…d4df19152b…9132285da3…4fc49ea8f5…1cc3a29f74…198c751a55…3ab50f8180…ef48c4ce1f…76cc095a7d…f49765035b…b9f81a035b…effeef448a…a821839256…ac84ffc635…ba9c24491d…532e005dc9…a1c6cbaa58…bf2c56c1c3…7e1c49d261…f62d996cc5…ba3af6f6ad…0963d4a1b2…5ce6457ec9…f4480110d5…712a659bf6…34930c1aa6…5ad31c2272…fca5d3bc3c…44f1da3f07…18da4335b8…c8524512f7…8cc448305a…f3a1680ffd…e543512eec…06885ce378…1002e78dce…b2a62542af…ba5ecb0126…0dd3f89c99…a628914ada…f09dd55fd3…1edf00fbe7…ed306+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
3ec4…e93f424,524,219+30.0%✓43 replay
3f02…fe8f423,701,522+30.0%✓43 replay
3f10…7bef424,018,550+30.0%✓43 replay
733c…1f4f425,625,131+30.0%✓43 replay
3f6e…af4f418,021,213+30.0%✓43 replay
d379…e76f415,171,881+30.0%✓43 replay
8a69…49bf417,434,848+30.0%✓43 replay
d2e5…a13f425,625,890+30.0%✓43 replay
c3f8…cbff423,164,142+30.0%✓43 replay
cedf…c04f418,930,708+30.0%✓43 replay
c3da…d56f412,432,527+30.0%✓43 replay
cf02…802f418,026,132+30.0%✓43 replay
cf0b…88df423,480,118+30.0%✓43 replay
262a…302f412,317,295+30.0%✓43 replay
c360…2b1f423,410,173+30.0%✓43 replay
2666…489f421,221,221+30.0%✓43 replay
c355…89ef410,411,172+30.0%✓43 replay
3fd1…fe7f422,602,292+30.0%✓43 replay
3f74…818f413,659,212+30.0%✓43 replay
dc8a…6a4f421,378,085+30.0%✓43 replay
dc41…60c6420,646,109+30.0%✓43 replay
46eb…e1ff426,069,833+30.0%✓43 replay
4718…61cf423,660,003+30.0%✓43 replay
4762…976f420,390,536+30.0%✓43 replay
dbd7…e32f417,440,263+30.0%✓43 replay
dba0…f8bf424,249,296+30.0%✓43 replay
de0a…ebcf422,484,259+30.0%✓43 replay
88aa…c8cf421,350,119+30.0%✓43 replay
dd49…d51f424,383,712+30.0%✓43 replay
7010…cccf418,675,615+30.0%✓43 replay
730b…ff8f424,118,014+30.0%✓43 replay
6ff2…95ef424,918,420+30.0%✓43 replay
6fc2…970f419,340,338+30.0%✓43 replay
cdce…8d9f423,853,909+30.0%✓43 replay
466b…94ff423,027,723+30.0%✓43 replay
7336…fedf423,845,090+30.0%✓43 replay
7336…4aaf423,870,332+30.0%✓43 replay
3f51…61df416,175,467+30.0%✓43 replay
3f24…78af418,427,717+30.0%✓43 replay
3f23…841f415,399,078+30.0%✓43 replay
4677…6e6f423,658,896+30.0%✓43 replay
7357…9b8f422,086,840+30.0%✓43 replay
73d8…040f419,556,216+30.0%✓43 replay
73f1…9b6f420,019,922+30.0%✓43 replay
fca0…eb4f425,100,145+30.0%✓43 replay
b6f4…881f424,456,775+30.0%✓43 replay
fca1…b6bf424,151,800+30.0%✓43 replay
fce9…101f417,656,875+30.0%✓43 replay
b6dd…252f425,392,509+30.0%✓43 replay
b6d6…b2df421,219,456+30.0%✓43 replay
3efa…f5df425,771,001+30.0%✓43 replay
b6b0…99ef417,584,722+30.0%✓43 replay
46f3…7c4f415,866,890+30.0%✓43 replay
46f6…60cf422,297,061+30.0%✓43 replay
4719…298f417,789,528+30.0%✓43 replay
4722…9acf410,309,909+30.0%✓43 replay
4761…451f416,398,783+30.0%✓43 replay
b695…7cff427,324,141+30.0%✓43 replay
1cb4…f2cf425,628,065+30.0%✓43 replay
1cc6…f33f425,342,455+30.0%✓43 replay