│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(5)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 53% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+15.8%
n=51030 out-of-sample
Hit rate
53%
93528 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+12.6% → +12.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+12.5% … +12.7%
Support93,528
OOS support51,030
MDL bits0
Case / control79014 / 65556
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
20 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1052125+30.0%—view →
crew 11337+26.7%✓view →
crew 5931+26.2%—view →
crew 8879+25.6%—view →
crew 21320+18.6%✓view →
crew 1593+18.5%✓view →
crew 4039+18.4%—view →
crew 21151+17.2%—view →
crew 132087+16.2%—view →
crew 6229+15.3%—view →
crew 3434+12.2%—view →
crew 68267+10.3%—view →
crew 31422+7.9%—view →
crew 2702109+7.4%—view →
crew 1216+0.0%—view →
crew 1247723+0.0%—view →
crew 1521517+0.0%—view →
crew 1951926+0.0%—view →
crew 2307316+0.0%—view →
crew 5557-3.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
5ca6…842f416,920,499+30.0%✓13 replay
5ca4…b747423,771,395+30.0%✓13 replay
d406…7a3f423,180,257+30.0%✓13 replay
2838…9bcf420,411,901+30.0%✓113 replay
2823…808f424,301,358+30.0%✓13 replay
2806…474f422,966,174+30.0%✓13 replay
2804…008f422,384,039+30.0%✓6 replay
27f7…543f423,477,771+30.0%✓15 replay
27f0…62df416,426,666+30.0%✓13 replay
27eb…255f412,426,956+30.0%✓13 replay
27c5…8b4f417,113,784+30.0%✓13 replay
279e…bcef420,897,403+30.0%✓13 replay
2783…8def417,768,081+30.0%✓13 replay
277a…5dff412,799,876+30.0%✓40 replay
2767…4ddf427,292,766+30.0%✓13 replay
2758…42a3414,530,232+30.0%✓13 replay
271e…23ef419,373,455+30.0%✓13 replay
270c…8f3f415,182,107+30.0%✓3 replay
6aa9…651f424,602,776+30.0%✓40 replay
6a98…0e9f411,943,418+30.0%✓13 replay
6a8c…18df422,048,454+30.0%✓13 replay
6a79…58af412,265,276+30.0%✓13 replay
6a5d…b04f415,688,442+30.0%✓13 replay
6a4f…cf0f410,338,193+30.0%✓13 replay
6a2f…61ff423,930,990+30.0%✓13 replay
6a29…b70f420,525,079+30.0%✓13 replay
69ee…43ff414,514,227+30.0%✓13 replay
69b9…2b2f420,616,518+30.0%✓13 replay
69b4…b1cf413,928,745+30.0%✓21 replay
69b2…1b3f426,888,835+30.0%✓13 replay
695f…4d95418,966,319+30.0%✓13 replay
5ca3…d0ef424,740,062+30.0%✓6 replay
0f07…f94f414,312,237+30.0%✓13 replay
724a…887f420,516,906+30.0%✓13 replay
0f00…b45f426,693,290+30.0%✓13 replay
727a…701f423,640,610+30.0%✓13 replay
72ac…59ff425,780,386+30.0%✓13 replay
72ca…9cbf427,142,176+30.0%✓13 replay
72ef…6d6f426,881,276+30.0%✓15 replay
7305…9dcf426,202,914+30.0%✓88 replay
733c…c39f422,395,347+30.0%✓306 replay
3b31…caef423,365,951+30.0%✓43 replay
3b3b…32af420,749,696+30.0%✓213 replay
3b50…57ff426,904,416+30.0%✓213 replay
3b7a…514a418,350,300+30.0%✓6 replay
3b94…f49f427,218,268+30.0%✓34 replay
3bb2…52ef414,290,350+30.0%✓13 replay
7253…dd5f427,348,216+30.0%✓6 replay
3bc9…e4df425,107,949+30.0%✓13 replay
0ef8…c99f423,237,693+30.0%✓13 replay
3bca…0b5f426,117,766+30.0%✓113 replay
0eeb…8e0f426,966,623+30.0%✓113 replay
0eea…fa6f421,227,036+30.0%✓26779 replay
0edc…caef421,495,299+30.0%✓6 replay
0ed9…f4df412,132,971+30.0%✓13 replay
0ef5…646f425,863,402+30.0%✓36 replay
0ec4…949f413,757,874+30.0%✓84 replay
3bd2…cfef412,570,522+30.0%✓13 replay
0e95…7ddf426,721,072+30.0%✓460 replay
3c2f…5aff424,075,671+30.0%✓13 replay