│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(5)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.6% → +12.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.002
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+5.1% … +22.1%
Support16
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control79014 / 65556
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 23073
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | f2a1615e04307ea656dc3d0daf49c3496e31cc780ba28d38410083d190202c1a | 100% | 16 |
Other crews running this exact shape
20 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 25 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 37 | +26.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 59 | 31 | +26.2% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 79 | +25.6% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +18.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 93 | +18.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +18.4% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 151 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2087 | +16.2% | — | view → |
| all | 93528 | +15.8% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 229 | +15.3% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 34 | +12.2% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 267 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 22 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 109 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 57 | -3.0% | — | view → |
Crew 23073
3 resolved wallets
fe2e1…164a4f2a16…02c1a4d808…b1d3e
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bcf9…fc5f | 412,237,980 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| bd4a…14bf | 410,487,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 0509…06bf | 411,855,788 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 80b5…68af | 411,866,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 98ae…cf3f | 411,866,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| a79b…a89f | 410,739,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 4403…1daf | 410,543,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| c850…c04f | 411,247,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 9f39…df6f | 411,849,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 778d…8c1f | 411,836,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| eecf…a03f | 412,257,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 19f9…60af | 410,807,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 2f03…5f4f | 411,420,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 2e25…d19f | 411,857,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 2403…84ff | 410,718,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| a5e0…07bf | 410,778,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 5670…9eff | 411,405,073 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 9de4…77cf | 410,961,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 3201…278f | 410,480,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 0bc7…374f | 410,809,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| e9dc…9f9f | 411,170,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 1223…5a8f | 411,367,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| aedd…0b3f | 411,213,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| b2cc…788f | 410,553,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 8654…6a5f | 411,673,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 00e2…c40f | 411,873,055 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| af71…ebef | 411,873,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 522b…5ecf | 410,705,864 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 4dfe…b63f | 412,063,649 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 6b95…532f | 410,517,781 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 1d26…e83f | 411,133,652 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| f397…b78f | 411,198,624 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 4a33…012f | 410,935,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 02b6…2bdf | 410,810,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| b15a…460f | 411,221,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| cf94…c73f | 412,092,627 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 3f2d…01ff | 410,713,708 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 982c…ca1f | 410,941,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 0bc0…905f | 410,579,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| d263…bd4f | 411,686,241 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| c0d9…893f | 411,399,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 173d…394f | 410,559,087 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 71ac…042f | 411,134,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 6e23…77df | 411,406,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 1597…8a8f | 410,577,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 242c…6a1f | 410,585,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 03b7…282f | 411,817,590 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| c9ca…82cf | 410,954,620 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 570e…23bf | 411,447,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 2791…755f | 410,596,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 06e2…d42f | 411,419,765 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 1801…814f | 411,428,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 845c…90cf | 410,534,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 1f25…79af | 410,560,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| efa3…af8f | 411,848,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 1105…a81f | 412,145,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 9ad7…744f | 411,247,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 0e49…c1ff | 411,453,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| d5d3…babf | 411,222,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |
| 2c36…149f | 412,100,687 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23073 | replay |