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rule detail

wash·co-buy(4)

rejected: only 1.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 35% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 3677
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
35%
48 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.9% → +2.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.363
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.9% … +8.6%
Support48
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control31199 / 27172
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 3677
Other crews running this exact shape
8 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 2118+30.0%—view →
crew 13203+20.2%✓view →
crew 2539920+17.5%—view →
crew 17893214+17.3%—view →
all48115+11.9%—view →
crew 2429420+11.9%—view →
crew 618+7.7%—view →
crew 270242+0.0%—view →
Crew 3677
47 resolved wallets
f11df…31cb7f9b63…f7553ff2d1…b1f39b6eac…009562d6e2…b16e628cbc…e9b9a4dfff…d92c7e9a3b…0088557ab8…fe1be4b29a…87ec08d100…d168e1e95b…bd6941de2e…5d22000e7a…8f43dde594…038604d44f…251704a806…215adf963b…68c4fd77af…a0c40c2c05…b21516a979…f42086e5ec…527cecf29f…f6842aca11…2782349144…d41e283cd2…507baeaa9b…573aaef777…d275f31d1e…a45933e7a3…14a19bbea2…f3fe573e29…32a43aff12…ef12b61241…0adfc101dd…5d41f92bf0…e7318bb1ca…c3853eed7b…4334073102…ece68e315e…fd5562938e…804790f6fe…aa1eb80e3a…49e6e517de…0d2a6e1208…9a6643835a…9625ecb92e…2da68
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
8ad9…a30f414,302,828+30.0%✓3677 replay
8b57…7eaf413,892,874+30.0%✓3677 replay
2ae2…479f417,079,383+30.0%✓3677 replay
7cfd…265f413,895,172+30.0%✓3677 replay
dbe2…1a2f419,770,214+30.0%✓3677 replay
9609…d03f410,994,372+30.0%✓3677 replay
d7cb…bdef414,305,607+30.0%✓3677 replay
7a8a…997f413,885,996+30.0%✓3677 replay
3717…955f417,384,135+30.0%✓3677 replay
9367…086f414,755,548+30.0%✓3677 replay
dabf…efcf413,905,179+30.0%✓3677 replay
3796…aa0f413,892,516+30.0%✓3677 replay
7a7d…d2ff413,225,140+30.0%✓3677 replay
ad36…8f2f414,281,310+30.0%✓3677 replay
cf80…df5f413,902,228+30.0%✓3677 replay
8e9c…7a8f413,226,896+30.0%✓3677 replay
1588…7a9f412,794,687+30.0%✓3677 replay
3ada…917f413,846,708+30.0%✓3677 replay
aec6…e5bf418,444,708+30.0%✓3677 replay
be2d…35ef414,301,251+30.0%✓3677 replay
9b36…48df413,908,348+30.0%✓3677 replay
9b62…74cf414,301,490+30.0%✓3677 replay
bc17…d7bf413,895,237+30.0%✓3677 replay
2cad…300f414,986,226+30.0%✓3677 replay
7b1e…9c4f413,152,306+30.0%✓3677 replay
c61b…745f414,970,826+30.0%✓3677 replay
1846…a86f414,302,729+30.0%✓3677 replay
65d0…7fdf413,229,343+30.0%✓3677 replay
7ee9…2d3f414,302,321+30.0%✓3677 replay
c58e…eb6f414,762,284+30.0%✓3677 replay
115c…00af418,210,656+30.0%✓3677 replay
cee5…ec1f414,300,327+30.0%✓3677 replay
cce1…1d8f413,868,983+30.0%✓3677 replay
665d…318f414,985,901+30.0%✓3677 replay
c5d6…4c1f414,760,365+30.0%✓3677 replay
b130…0a4f411,010,887+30.0%✓3677 replay
55f4…a3ef414,301,103+30.0%✓3677 replay
f897…be4f413,831,057+30.0%✓3677 replay
f8be…4b6f414,303,422+30.0%✓3677 replay
09ff…c94f414,305,143+30.0%✓3677 replay
44d6…7f3f414,982,337+30.0%✓3677 replay
ca64…94af414,760,096+30.0%✓3677 replay
a384…94df414,243,620+30.0%✓3677 replay
9d5c…9c6f414,305,188+30.0%✓3677 replay
4678…1eaf418,252,557+30.0%✓3677 replay
f368…c31f414,300,580+30.0%✓3677 replay
aa72…b89f414,987,622+30.0%✓3677 replay
e1a8…b51f413,244,763+30.0%✓3677 replay
fbe5…0ebf414,297,309+30.0%✓3677 replay
7d30…1f5f414,982,757+30.0%✓3677 replay
f364…706f413,908,327+30.0%✓3677 replay
13f3…23bf414,303,076+30.0%✓3677 replay
39f9…e53f410,111,384+30.0%✓3677 replay
7f62…f87f410,174,339+30.0%✓3677 replay
9132…83cf410,178,418+30.0%✓3677 replay
1896…84bf414,302,047+30.0%✓3677 replay
358a…e93f414,760,633+30.0%✓3677 replay
f165…6d3f414,762,118+30.0%✓3677 replay
16f3…d50f410,382,886+30.0%✓3677 replay
4ce6…b28f410,579,329+30.0%✓3677 replay