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rule detail

wash·co-buy(4)

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 54% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+11.9%
n=10245 out-of-sample
Hit rate
54%
48115 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+12.0% → +12.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.9% … +12.2%
Support48,115
OOS support10,245
MDL bits0
Case / control31199 / 27172
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
8 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 2118+30.0%—view →
crew 13203+20.2%✓view →
crew 2539920+17.5%—view →
crew 17893214+17.3%—view →
crew 2429420+11.9%—view →
crew 618+7.7%—view →
crew 270242+0.0%—view →
crew 367748+0.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
cb2d…955f420,646,361+30.0%✓25399 replay
fce8…811f414,423,802+30.0%✓1050 replay
b763…ccff416,801,113+30.0%✓6 replay
fcd2…bbcf412,903,950+30.0%✓1968 replay
914f…22cf421,671,844+30.0%✓18354 replay
fcc6…4eab416,090,427+30.0%✓6 replay
48a3…3026422,128,420+30.0%✓17893 replay
fcaf…ffdf423,868,588+30.0%✓13 replay
fc6d…9fef418,654,547+30.0%✓4966 replay
fc1e…4d8f410,784,098+30.0%✓17893 replay
fc0a…a58f416,235,514+30.0%✓2978 replay
742c…6eca416,172,833+30.0%✓13 replay
d7eb…dddf425,598,135+30.0%✓16765 replay
0e96…033f417,813,351+30.0%✓13 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
0eed…bc3f425,441,136+30.0%✓190 replay
7367…113f421,410,740+30.0%✓13 replay
731f…036f417,450,583+30.0%✓16 replay
48b6…d28f417,859,045+30.0%✓6504 replay
b731…690f421,200,252+30.0%✓13 replay
8b07…700f418,733,622+30.0%✓13 replay
8ae2…bc0f418,198,800+30.0%✓17893 replay
9227…bedf419,553,534+30.0%✓113 replay
9267…144f411,452,298+30.0%✓13 replay
8ab8…cf9f410,861,939+30.0%✓13 replay
3b9f…434f414,594,039+30.0%✓13 replay
3c07…6e1f411,676,224+30.0%✓1968 replay
d8bf…25bf412,895,263+30.0%✓10 replay
8a54…9eef422,225,167+30.0%✓17893 replay
8a37…43df411,639,821+30.0%✓17893 replay
89fa…f70f411,909,214+30.0%✓320 replay
89fa…4bbf416,681,912+30.0%✓13 replay
ef72…8eff423,334,243+30.0%✓13 replay
d910…0dce412,978,584+30.0%✓13 replay
ef76…891f422,847,120+30.0%✓1049 replay
2335…5eef419,796,624+30.0%✓17893 replay
73fd…6def417,477,320+30.0%✓6 replay
8a3d…e7ef419,526,331+30.0%✓13 replay
d7fd…774f410,332,850+30.0%✓13 replay
d7fe…ccff416,671,135+30.0%✓11606 replay
0ef5…646f425,863,402+30.0%✓36 replay
b6e3…ed9f419,305,544+30.0%✓17893 replay
d883…90bf412,201,238+30.0%✓13 replay
d88b…6d1f417,631,313+30.0%✓17893 replay
8c02…175f419,780,308+30.0%✓13 replay
b65c…9565411,275,488+30.0%✓1968 replay
b670…591f418,893,582+30.0%✓17893 replay
b68a…e2df427,125,608+30.0%✓88 replay
8bc5…276f411,658,011+30.0%✓17893 replay
effa…8d1f425,855,077+30.0%✓13 replay
8bb6…56bf424,838,062+30.0%✓6442 replay
b6d6…b2df421,219,456+30.0%✓43 replay
8b8c…0eff419,967,570+30.0%✓987 replay
b701…7280414,432,351+30.0%✓1968 replay
f089…27af417,392,251+30.0%✓1050 replay
b6ac…ad3f419,845,180+30.0%✓17893 replay
3f9b…9aef421,931,467+30.0%✓13 replay
b728…70df411,097,039+30.0%✓1968 replay
3fce…99cf416,324,840+30.0%✓17893 replay
3fae…914f410,363,953+30.0%✓17893 replay