│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(6)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 54% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+17.7%
n=30 out-of-sample
Hit rate
54%
57 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+14.1% → +13.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+9.2% … +18.9%
Support57
OOS support30
MDL bits20
Case / control155122 / 126691
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 13
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 48c01b5059005455d9dcb0c6bcecdcb4fb5b2eabc1a9a82b57392baaa40f04e6 | 98% | 85 |
Other crews running this exact shape
1 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| all | 221586 | +13.6% | — | view → |
Crew 13
200 resolved wallets
0297f…7d17048c01…f04e6d5d49…9aa5e5ea71…4882254a81…7485adbc0d…f2563eb378…31d2dc1d0e…3f5c1da400…eb9dad8d37…e70afeac22…2e251f4247…c0b683d345…3579178e1f…0ff4e9e85d…534ce66cd8…1777cc0609…a11dd7df78…2341533a86…f3139bf635…45ed2efd9e…69a7b58385…7f907d2f87…239601fbd6…8cd310431a…411bc94eb0…32d324b081…36fdc2bd8d…5e1d5aca81…f8504288a2…c4fa6f0486…016f162bb1…ac3189dff6…7434d4f40c…cf4a80613a…05ab1c5333…a00ca238de…27251f6734…bf5e23d8f7…07aaacad81…8c466ebaad…62e1d62837…794e578dbc…0c97b7301f…2bfcd3cd33…0ad729cfbf…2d98106dd8…19e142faa6…8b91773cff…a1e42dbdf7…e401454fbf…b1ccfd56dc…2397416692…3ffbce4eae…4355605612…85c949082a…d77f846a18…94a3a45c48…4cec3af6cb…61f8230a9c…0466a78a4f…2966c3e151…a74c69375a…abf2a2245a…2f5a7c2633…d28b36ff75…d11914f229…531cca70a7…32878d5a9a…da3f95281c…7be92cfbc0…fb546faaeb…8c165ffd86…7d2f1922cd…c84c7d1112…5248abe109…8cddf97f8b…004a27a193…ab8edf3579…24d82865df…60919+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc5b…01ff | 416,020,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| dc17…a40f | 419,928,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| dbca…089f | 418,001,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| dba8…282f | 412,967,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| db9f…4a4f | 426,821,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| db79…7b6f | 418,739,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| de5a…9c7f | 417,979,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| de1c…b9cf | 426,482,302 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| dd4f…2d7f | 426,963,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 703e…e5cf | 426,025,986 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7014…d58f | 420,789,910 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 700c…6eef | 413,747,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6feb…78bf | 411,036,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6f7a…98af | 412,543,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6f72…c19f | 414,009,466 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6f27…a9af | 414,001,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1cb1…f6ef | 421,463,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7f73…5127 | 410,586,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1bc1…199f | 426,835,527 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1ba8…45cf | 411,485,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1b98…40cf | 410,103,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fd01…6cbf | 425,841,161 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fcbc…982f | 415,253,090 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fc82…205f | 427,197,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fc39…6a7a | 411,918,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7434…9e2f | 421,251,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7431…5eaf | 413,340,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 742c…6eca | 416,172,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73f2…332f | 413,859,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7388…979f | 413,641,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7386…11bf | 418,063,356 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7384…9b0f | 419,069,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 735a…6c7f | 411,238,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 733d…784f | 422,825,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 733a…8f1f | 410,749,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7339…2dff | 410,014,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72fd…76bf | 416,074,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8b10…bc6f | 422,673,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8ab8…cf9f | 410,861,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1c97…6dff | 422,720,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a76…ad3f | 413,341,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7f7e…815f | 415,951,733 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7f86…652f | 427,600,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8925…946f | 422,359,867 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 894b…4cbf | 415,369,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72a4…7b5f | 417,968,870 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ab…8cdf | 426,169,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72e7…96df | 426,272,037 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…dc1f | 423,950,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…1a7f | 414,093,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 739e…2a2f | 413,664,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73dd…c65f | 411,259,472 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 468b…872f | 412,417,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4727…a160 | 414,830,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4730…610f | 426,275,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d76d…d44f | 422,578,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d7a1…b98f | 421,436,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a6c…400f | 419,240,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d7d2…b64f | 418,873,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d7a5…8c4f | 411,636,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |