│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(6)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 54% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+13.6%
n=60190 out-of-sample
Hit rate
54%
221586 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.5% → +11.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.4% … +11.6%
Support221,586
OOS support60,190
MDL bits0
Case / control155122 / 126691
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
1 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13 | 57 | +17.7% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d74…a8af | 424,034,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 956 | replay |
| 5d6b…f1ff | 418,447,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 5d3a…bc9a | 413,823,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 5d0a…520f | 427,180,747 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5d07…bc5f | 426,766,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5d00…48df | 411,781,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5cfc…372d | 424,273,356 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5cf4…559d | 416,170,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 5cf1…bcef | 415,305,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6323 | replay |
| 5cea…050f | 427,058,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5ce2…310f | 413,864,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 326 | replay |
| 5cd5…348f | 409,665,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10343 | replay |
| 5ccb…49af | 411,009,957 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 5cc0…694f | 418,956,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 5cb1…7868 | 419,764,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5c81…29cf | 415,238,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 285f…fa5f | 426,465,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2852…4892 | 421,042,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2835…d04f | 427,415,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 282c…d172 | 423,612,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2825…b41f | 420,227,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 284 | replay |
| 280b…4bcf | 412,067,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2807…078f | 425,348,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 27f2…1caf | 410,227,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27eb…255f | 412,426,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27e8…434f | 420,444,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 37725 | replay |
| 27e4…6bb5 | 411,265,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 27e3…4ebf | 423,432,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27cf…4d5f | 418,224,681 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27c6…f75f | 410,612,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13487 | replay |
| 27a9…16ff | 414,923,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27a2…8f8f | 412,131,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 279f…32cc | 426,632,807 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 279c…0b5f | 415,685,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6778 | replay |
| 279a…ffa4 | 421,109,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1601 | replay |
| 277a…5dff | 412,799,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2761…c86f | 417,358,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2761…e6ff | 415,687,805 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2755…135f | 419,866,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2751…08ef | 410,177,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 271c…f53f | 418,902,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23612 | replay |
| 270f…b37f | 420,392,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6274 | replay |
| 6aa9…651f | 424,602,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6a9a…826f | 412,608,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6a9a…9f6f | 412,157,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a76…ea91 | 424,042,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 6a65…5acf | 416,452,760 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a60…3adf | 422,197,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6a5e…562f | 421,086,219 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a5d…b04f | 415,688,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a34…f4c1 | 419,567,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 6a31…31af | 413,242,871 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6a2e…141f | 417,969,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6a2c…22ff | 416,571,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1289 | replay |
| 6a29…b70f | 420,525,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a26…23c4 | 412,345,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6a24…1a2f | 421,945,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6a14…eedf | 414,545,092 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7386…7a2f | 410,145,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a07…7ebf | 413,061,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |