co-buy(2)

rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 37% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 34

OOS effect

+11.3%

n=99 out-of-sample

Hit rate

37%

103 occurrences

Raw → shrunk

+5.3% → +5.5%

empirical-Bayes

FDR q

0.010

significant

Exact rule

Expressive-Patterns DSL

Motif

fixed motif

Statistics

effect, confidence & description length

95% CI+1.3% … +9.3%

Support103

OOS support99

MDL bits20

Case / control371904 / 532359

Motif size5n · 4e

Shape ide00000000000…

Groundingcrew 34

Other crews running this exact shape

35 related groundings

Crew	Support	OOS	Kept?
crew 20	37	+20.2%	—	view →
crew 15	61	+20.1%	—	view →
crew 16	48	+17.9%	—	view →
crew 40	71	+17.2%	—	view →
crew 17893	65	+17.0%	—	view →
crew 145	18	+13.5%	—	view →
crew 59	42	+13.2%	—	view →
crew 6	223	+12.9%	—	view →
crew 55	30	+12.9%	—	view →
crew 213	30	+12.5%	—	view →
crew 13	1160	+11.7%	—	view →
crew 88	43	+10.4%	—	view →
crew 10	24	+10.0%	—	view →
all	601238	+9.4%	—	view →
crew 56	37	+7.9%	—	view →
crew 325	27	+7.5%	—	view →
crew 14441	19	+7.0%	—	view →
crew 43	65	+7.0%	—	view →
crew 226	24	+7.0%	—	view →
crew 306	24	+6.5%	—	view →
crew 68	121	+5.5%	—	view →
crew 19	26	+5.2%	—	view →
crew 94	24	+4.8%	—	view →
crew 113	21	+4.3%	—	view →
crew 5	39	+4.1%	—	view →
crew 21	94	+3.7%	—	view →
crew 19197	16	+2.6%	—	view →
crew 171	18	+2.1%	—	view →
crew 1968	677	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 2978	286	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 36	15	-1.0%	—	view →
crew 373	22	-2.3%	—	view →
crew 12	29	-6.4%	—	view →
crew 31	21	-14.3%	—	view →
crew 47	27	-15.5%	—	view →

Crew 34

200 resolved wallets

ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more

Supporting episodes

60 occurrences that induced this rule

Token	Slot	Return	Pump?	Crew
73c8…b22f	426,130,880	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
465a…733f	420,808,335	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
470f…667f	418,920,874	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4772…20cf	424,890,571	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d784…1e0f	424,975,827	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d7bb…23cf	413,133,612	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d824…c38f	422,899,515	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d858…c9bf	419,799,037	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d869…4fcf	426,541,899	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b72b…6a6f	422,178,948	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f2c…e91f	426,734,988	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f50…d95f	421,285,106	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f78…69ef	419,842,610	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
223d…f0cf	422,581,477	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
228e…163f	413,134,566	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2298…62ef	426,506,941	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7a0b…b90f	425,507,635	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2326…745f	426,588,250	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2350…7a3f	424,899,492	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8a51…17df	423,458,455	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8a98…7edf	416,515,878	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
72fa…421f	424,735,851	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
72fe…dd6f	420,822,086	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7380…0a8f	419,691,736	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
740d…2e9f	425,696,901	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fc18…d52f	423,692,585	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fc20…161f	427,641,557	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fc6c…1acf	422,859,617	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fc6e…39af	417,998,482	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
fd0a…64ff	411,083,244	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
1c62…13af	412,455,086	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6f4c…b42f	427,653,861	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6f8e…b62f	427,376,407	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6fea…016f	420,785,736	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
de1c…1a8f	422,043,175	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
db9b…5daf	419,339,950	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dbb8…204f	420,421,404	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dc0e…1fef	419,956,172	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2309…162f	422,312,299	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f63…94af	420,903,975	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
79fe…7faf	421,052,163	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2bb3…b3bf	424,129,166	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2ba7…c17f	424,782,513	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2ba2…520f	416,633,403	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2b4f…45af	424,747,333	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2ac6…60ff	426,475,577	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b75b…cf4f	421,690,084	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8847…e69f	421,335,235	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8703…f96f	420,075,425	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
58a2…2acf	412,201,045	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5898…7c2f	415,855,670	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5884…e3ff	419,560,136	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5846…956f	425,013,285	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5830…21ef	425,273,762	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5d80…9cff	416,891,249	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4024…083f	414,144,369	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6a34…b72f	413,797,577	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
69cb…faaf	424,553,432	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5cac…64cf	421,889,190	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
c3f5…d76f	424,221,132	+30.0%	✓	34	replay