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rule detail

co-buy(2)

rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 21% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 14441
OOS effect
+7.0%
n=7 out-of-sample
Hit rate
21%
19 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.8% → +1.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.644
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.7% … +8.1%
Support19
OOS support7
MDL bits20
Case / control371904 / 532359
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 14441
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 2037+20.2%—view →
crew 1561+20.1%—view →
crew 1648+17.9%—view →
crew 4071+17.2%—view →
crew 1789365+17.0%—view →
crew 14518+13.5%—view →
crew 5942+13.2%—view →
crew 6223+12.9%—view →
crew 5530+12.9%—view →
crew 21330+12.5%—view →
crew 131160+11.7%—view →
crew 34103+11.3%—view →
crew 8843+10.4%—view →
crew 1024+10.0%—view →
all601238+9.4%—view →
crew 5637+7.9%—view →
crew 32527+7.5%—view →
crew 4365+7.0%—view →
crew 22624+7.0%—view →
crew 30624+6.5%—view →
crew 68121+5.5%—view →
crew 1926+5.2%—view →
crew 9424+4.8%—view →
crew 11321+4.3%—view →
crew 539+4.1%—view →
crew 2194+3.7%—view →
crew 1919716+2.6%—view →
crew 17118+2.1%—view →
crew 1968677+0.0%—view →
crew 2978286+0.0%—view →
crew 3615-1.0%—view →
crew 37322-2.3%—view →
crew 1229-6.4%—view →
crew 3121-14.3%—view →
crew 4727-15.5%—view →
Crew 14441
3 resolved wallets
9ddae…e167f2f804…8053f690ec…b2039
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
4471…f295421,276,405+30.0%✓14441 replay
9224…efdf421,991,859+30.0%✓14441 replay
3be1…69ff419,161,041+30.0%✓14441 replay
ff14…78af421,035,621+30.0%✓14441 replay
252e…252f421,204,018+30.0%✓14441 replay
3cd1…7f69420,646,598+30.0%✓14441 replay
2953…190f421,888,226+30.0%✓14441 replay
cb94…510f421,196,617+30.0%✓14441 replay
d19d…231f418,682,868+30.0%✓14441 replay
e152…7c7f421,212,317+30.0%✓14441 replay
5fc7…260f424,800,028+30.0%✓14441 replay
5a5c…771f423,603,920+30.0%✓14441 replay
2d2f…6277420,875,861+30.0%✓14441 replay
7cf1…2a2f425,319,406+30.0%✓14441 replay
4285…12cf419,860,804+30.0%✓14441 replay
4a63…052f422,443,477+30.0%✓14441 replay
b5c6…be5f419,502,026+30.0%✓14441 replay
43b7…d200424,832,608+30.0%✓14441 replay
12b5…5b1f420,616,228+30.0%✓14441 replay
2f57…445f423,638,252+30.0%✓14441 replay
02de…8aff423,616,399+30.0%✓14441 replay
b82e…cb98421,286,397+30.0%✓14441 replay
43b5…0c6f418,406,018+30.0%✓14441 replay
448b…4d8f410,753,281+30.0%✓14441 replay
4a72…b85f420,570,065+30.0%✓14441 replay
d03a…c6ff421,109,488+30.0%✓14441 replay
7b9c…0a38421,298,107+30.0%✓14441 replay
0259…d09f421,211,145+30.0%✓14441 replay
32d1…56da421,305,099+30.0%✓14441 replay
d701…533f421,225,952+30.0%✓14441 replay
9260…b44f420,377,815+30.0%✓14441 replay
e211…abbf419,127,536+30.0%✓14441 replay
919a…98df425,263,443+30.0%✓14441 replay
9bec…222f422,154,534+30.0%✓14441 replay
d8c1…0d7f420,919,935+30.0%✓14441 replay
4a34…fde6421,265,598+30.0%✓14441 replay
85b9…3f7f424,345,090+30.0%✓14441 replay
95d2…80ff425,561,173+30.0%✓14441 replay
3792…11df425,571,444+30.0%✓14441 replay
c03c…9b2f422,092,350+30.0%✓14441 replay
8127…ab3f419,547,902+30.0%✓14441 replay
83c4…2f8f420,569,021+30.0%✓14441 replay
9832…076f421,213,902+30.0%✓14441 replay
9d9f…802f419,475,715+30.0%✓14441 replay
0ceb…c93f420,515,258+30.0%✓14441 replay
ea4b…d4ff417,896,170+30.0%✓14441 replay
352a…bedf424,886,372+30.0%✓14441 replay
0d83…0c7f421,636,603+30.0%✓14441 replay
865d…afbf424,301,055+30.0%✓14441 replay
85c0…258f424,449,441+30.0%✓14441 replay
8694…f2bf420,982,154+30.0%✓14441 replay
9b44…7cdf420,671,465+30.0%✓14441 replay
38c9…f19f420,857,383+30.0%✓14441 replay
8ae3…ef7f419,527,655+30.0%✓14441 replay
3a93…ec6f420,834,903+30.0%✓14441 replay
883b…b60f418,325,088+30.0%✓14441 replay
cd1c…3d9f423,617,739+30.0%✓14441 replay
a4ef…ca0f419,519,669+30.0%✓14441 replay
a893…17b3421,210,260+30.0%✓14441 replay
60d6…10bf422,521,830+30.0%✓14441 replay