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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(6)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 60% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+16.4%
n=11 out-of-sample
Hit rate
60%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.0% → +9.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.095
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.8% … +22.8%
Support15
OOS support11
MDL bits20
Case / control54515 / 40085
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 21
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 8c3f349b332aabfd346103b6f26eb138dd71f74d9376268d24bb8cb8eadc3086 | 96% | 25 |
Other crews running this exact shape
2 related groundings
Crew 21
200 resolved wallets
bfe25…94ee48c3f3…c3086f4c88…e78577a27f…b1523ece4a…544181636d…e9260d8301…bc9b8a43a5…44c25fa6c7…046a743e3d…59ea5dbd25…ce9438c099…ea52e8e3f9…1ba4758e68…dfcf4fb1bc…40a67ec8ef…0bc869c92d…503b740570…35e2195656…a0858cfd93…25e1ce03a4…86ac82d159…ca226e601c…8e9ec041a7…c1af04ccf9…76e95facb2…7732be27e3…2ea18f0ea7…ef348ac4cb…084938f248…a7d1b5586f…1641e3bbee…7c20a03c9e…fb0a245dd2…ffa67f46f9…5193bab69a…2fd50a213c…0a63a7dd04…bd6e1f7e01…dd89e1fe6e…17dfbbf16a…1ed27c7d0b…9c676f93b6…7a93505575…392d905d02…d15effe06e…e3202214f8…52299258da…d1b9a48470…0fa0e763ca…db4811ce8e…bc3014d8d5…30edf75222…190fff8dd7…5ff5fbbe3a…887c96cb91…13c2a09a9e…46242b6dda…0e4991b025…489fd0bd73…4d22609ff6…cd03567ccb…8ea34ee3ba…b66917dd53…719370c610…d11be76a51…f408211e04…09cbe1afa6…7f1a9d1b4b…d209598188…c1906a3902…0ea66514ff…8083e47040…93ffb6e07c…90ebc72c66…e0a0247877…f9e474beb8…b802c9a619…024627ec14…e575ea3fcc…b85a5+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c90b…6e8f | 424,082,711 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3aa4…0c2f | 414,807,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| ee64…aa4f | 420,162,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| eeb8…81cf | 420,409,160 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| fe84…ee7f | 416,877,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| ce1c…ac2f | 420,882,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2627…14df | 425,511,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3ecd…c11f | 419,807,778 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2232…2b4f | 420,200,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8abd…17ef | 411,321,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| fc27…9d9f | 412,044,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dc38…e21f | 420,604,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| c399…9d3f | 419,789,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d353…badf | 412,124,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 27b3…045f | 412,430,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 47aa…1d4f | 412,933,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d989…290f | 421,462,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d9a9…daff | 412,460,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8b9d…49bf | 424,108,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8bae…c9cf | 424,311,197 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 40cf…8a2f | 412,164,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d453…518f | 423,477,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3cad…97df | 420,880,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0fbb…fd7f | 424,135,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 59fa…225f | 414,794,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b7ef…066f | 411,833,520 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 46b5…746f | 423,551,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0062…10cf | 410,626,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4126…85ef | 411,897,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 75d3…567f | 409,897,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 7661…24cf | 419,323,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 42a1…331f | 416,054,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8d4c…c0bf | 415,136,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2a3a…7c9f | 420,437,363 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8a16…b51f | 417,991,268 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b98f…a85f | 424,139,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b9e8…a0ef | 425,874,035 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3ec8…1e5f | 423,477,071 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d22a…f59f | 426,178,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8d64…c93f | 410,338,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8ed6…634f | 424,496,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 73b5…757f | 412,071,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| e28e…a057 | 409,886,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2bd4…174f | 412,306,583 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9023…da8f | 414,532,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 02d8…eb0f | 424,078,878 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b8e3…c84f | 425,142,941 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 7819…2ca3 | 411,109,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4bec…0a8f | 411,028,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8efe…c86f | 425,343,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8fe9…e89f | 412,318,867 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 777f…3f5f | 416,987,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4344…b4cf | 424,112,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 434f…8f8f | 410,839,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 04aa…5d2f | 411,911,447 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9217…506f | 410,347,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 92a1…423f | 418,953,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| e5e9…941f | 414,953,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 649c…41ef | 427,190,926 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 604d…653f | 425,510,763 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |