│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(6)→all-buy
kept: 2.1x lift, OOS n=17 mean +20.1% (95% CI-lo +10.7% > 0), FDR q=0.000 · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+20.1%
n=17 out-of-sample
Hit rate
66%
29 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+20.2% → +19.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+14.1% … +26.3%
Support29
OOS support17
MDL bits20
Case / control54515 / 40085
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 13
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 48c01b5059005455d9dcb0c6bcecdcb4fb5b2eabc1a9a82b57392baaa40f04e6 | 91% | 42 |
Other crews running this exact shape
2 related groundings
Crew 13
200 resolved wallets
0297f…7d17048c01…f04e6d5d49…9aa5e5ea71…4882254a81…7485adbc0d…f2563eb378…31d2dc1d0e…3f5c1da400…eb9dad8d37…e70afeac22…2e251f4247…c0b683d345…3579178e1f…0ff4e9e85d…534ce66cd8…1777cc0609…a11dd7df78…2341533a86…f3139bf635…45ed2efd9e…69a7b58385…7f907d2f87…239601fbd6…8cd310431a…411bc94eb0…32d324b081…36fdc2bd8d…5e1d5aca81…f8504288a2…c4fa6f0486…016f162bb1…ac3189dff6…7434d4f40c…cf4a80613a…05ab1c5333…a00ca238de…27251f6734…bf5e23d8f7…07aaacad81…8c466ebaad…62e1d62837…794e578dbc…0c97b7301f…2bfcd3cd33…0ad729cfbf…2d98106dd8…19e142faa6…8b91773cff…a1e42dbdf7…e401454fbf…b1ccfd56dc…2397416692…3ffbce4eae…4355605612…85c949082a…d77f846a18…94a3a45c48…4cec3af6cb…61f8230a9c…0466a78a4f…2966c3e151…a74c69375a…abf2a2245a…2f5a7c2633…d28b36ff75…d11914f229…531cca70a7…32878d5a9a…da3f95281c…7be92cfbc0…fb546faaeb…8c165ffd86…7d2f1922cd…c84c7d1112…5248abe109…8cddf97f8b…004a27a193…ab8edf3579…24d82865df…60919+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46ac…f7ef | 418,141,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 46ef…c79f | 413,107,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 46f0…332f | 426,737,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a98…0e9f | 411,943,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a8c…18df | 422,048,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4742…af4f | 410,759,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a79…58af | 412,265,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a5d…b04f | 415,688,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7e75…db6f | 424,180,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a4f…cf0f | 410,338,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7eef…3f34 | 420,535,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a2f…61ff | 423,930,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a29…b70f | 420,525,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7f54…948f | 422,199,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8876…1a0f | 417,098,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69b9…2b2f | 420,616,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 889c…d78f | 425,164,978 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 88bd…c41f | 415,097,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69b2…1b3f | 426,888,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 88fc…4bbf | 423,277,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 695f…4d95 | 418,966,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8918…ebcf | 417,856,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 893b…dfcf | 418,447,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f07…f94f | 414,312,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…b45f | 426,693,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72a4…7b5f | 417,968,870 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c2f…5aff | 424,075,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bd2…cfef | 412,570,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc9…e4df | 425,107,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72e7…96df | 426,272,037 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…dc1f | 423,950,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…1a7f | 414,093,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 731b…ddef | 421,933,773 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7362…45ef | 427,383,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bb2…52ef | 414,290,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73ec…2bff | 412,220,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ac…59ff | 425,780,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 724a…887f | 420,516,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d406…7a3f | 423,180,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3b3…b98f | 422,711,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6ff9…b7df | 419,449,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d353…c9cf | 413,043,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d329…212f | 421,434,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d321…3bcf | 427,313,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d2bd…a21f | 420,301,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d805…e28f | 417,573,594 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c3c7…47df | 426,514,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d83b…eb9f | 416,728,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d856…dc6f | 420,020,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c35a…bebf | 416,544,882 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 471c…3e4f | 419,962,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fc87…df0f | 420,999,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7431…5eaf | 413,340,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73f2…332f | 413,859,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| ddf5…a15f | 415,377,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 233c…7b3f | 419,237,204 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72fd…76bf | 416,074,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| de46…4a9f | 418,227,583 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| de11…050f | 419,299,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| dbd9…c8ff | 423,532,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |