Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(5)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 40% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 681 anchor
OOS effect
+11.4%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
40%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.9% +7.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.094
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.9% … +15.6%
Support25
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control52922 / 46848
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet0ab973e44b3ba676ba475be6d05ab62c41d437a1710930e2c6a9602a333cb564100%31
Other crews running this exact shape
3 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 13285+17.1%view →
all61494+15.4%view →
crew 631+14.3%view →
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
3f7a…c96f416,835,187+30.0%68 replay
88b8…81bf414,613,987+30.0%68 replay
7365…cf3f418,532,244+30.0%68 replay
d7ca…5caf424,383,940+30.0%68 replay
3fc7…95ef424,737,818+30.0%68 replay
ddd1…849f418,646,628+30.0%68 replay
58cd…a4bf419,627,779+30.0%68 replay
8c61…34df418,982,759+30.0%68 replay
59b1…d30f422,888,127+30.0%68 replay
ff0e…80bf419,062,444+30.0%68 replay
5e8a…be1f419,770,655+30.0%68 replay
0ffd…49ff427,019,584+30.0%68 replay
27cd…605f426,589,795+30.0%68 replay
7f93…720f421,400,479+30.0%68 replay
dfd3…de1f419,674,254+30.0%68 replay
d928…024f426,553,158+30.0%68 replay
240b…dfff411,657,274+30.0%68 replay
2612…32af409,686,364+30.0%68 replay
462d…870f424,720,265+30.0%68 replay
c544…a42f411,096,998+30.0%68 replay
cc1d…a8af418,959,856+30.0%68 replay
72f2…afdf417,901,797+30.0%68 replay
4159…acbf426,676,212+30.0%68 replay
4a12…e82f416,200,878+30.0%68 replay
8117…ba3f419,278,405+30.0%68 replay
271b…17cf411,989,338+30.0%68 replay
496c…4b8f420,572,384+30.0%68 replay
da82…5cff414,705,902+30.0%68 replay
4b97…723f421,763,167+30.0%68 replay
8ef7…470f421,336,001+30.0%68 replay
223a…d2df427,558,440+30.0%68 replay
8d22…4b1f425,682,111+30.0%68 replay
71b9…8a5f411,327,000+30.0%68 replay
e611…7b5f420,140,860+30.0%68 replay
483c…59df425,375,840+30.0%68 replay
93a4…76ef414,607,486+30.0%68 replay
94cc…f21f411,695,473+30.0%68 replay
45e5…f33f426,381,990+30.0%68 replay
bd39…f3af412,640,732+30.0%68 replay
61db…fbff414,856,702+30.0%68 replay
315c…ff4f423,169,935+30.0%68 replay
88b3…6a9f410,452,467+30.0%68 replay
7327…9a17419,503,459+30.0%68 replay
311e…3bcf411,018,346+30.0%68 replay
789c…f43f419,180,476+30.0%68 replay
97bb…fbaf422,693,621+30.0%68 replay
855f…30ef420,977,130+30.0%68 replay
863b…bd3f412,193,331+30.0%68 replay
c79e…2a5f425,407,585+30.0%68 replay
5b29…271f424,447,661+30.0%68 replay
7ff7…e38f415,266,787+30.0%68 replay
6b1f…0f4f421,551,815+30.0%68 replay
9b67…b72f410,451,632+30.0%68 replay
c920…54f9410,540,901+30.0%68 replay
a277…e15f426,254,235+30.0%68 replay
89af…12cf423,756,858+30.0%68 replay
85ad…da6f425,681,479+30.0%68 replay
cc98…ad6f409,779,656+30.0%68 replay
7db8…e81f419,852,142+30.0%68 replay
0e2d…430f425,721,304+30.0%68 replay