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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(5)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 56% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+17.1%
n=216 out-of-sample
Hit rate
56%
285 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+15.2% → +15.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+13.0% … +17.4%
Support285
OOS support216
MDL bits20
Case / control52922 / 46848
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 13
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 48c01b5059005455d9dcb0c6bcecdcb4fb5b2eabc1a9a82b57392baaa40f04e6 | 99% | 498 |
Other crews running this exact shape
3 related groundings
Crew 13
200 resolved wallets
0297f…7d17048c01…f04e6d5d49…9aa5e5ea71…4882254a81…7485adbc0d…f2563eb378…31d2dc1d0e…3f5c1da400…eb9dad8d37…e70afeac22…2e251f4247…c0b683d345…3579178e1f…0ff4e9e85d…534ce66cd8…1777cc0609…a11dd7df78…2341533a86…f3139bf635…45ed2efd9e…69a7b58385…7f907d2f87…239601fbd6…8cd310431a…411bc94eb0…32d324b081…36fdc2bd8d…5e1d5aca81…f8504288a2…c4fa6f0486…016f162bb1…ac3189dff6…7434d4f40c…cf4a80613a…05ab1c5333…a00ca238de…27251f6734…bf5e23d8f7…07aaacad81…8c466ebaad…62e1d62837…794e578dbc…0c97b7301f…2bfcd3cd33…0ad729cfbf…2d98106dd8…19e142faa6…8b91773cff…a1e42dbdf7…e401454fbf…b1ccfd56dc…2397416692…3ffbce4eae…4355605612…85c949082a…d77f846a18…94a3a45c48…4cec3af6cb…61f8230a9c…0466a78a4f…2966c3e151…a74c69375a…abf2a2245a…2f5a7c2633…d28b36ff75…d11914f229…531cca70a7…32878d5a9a…da3f95281c…7be92cfbc0…fb546faaeb…8c165ffd86…7d2f1922cd…c84c7d1112…5248abe109…8cddf97f8b…004a27a193…ab8edf3579…24d82865df…60919+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cf0f…4f4f | 422,723,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 695f…4d95 | 418,966,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2622…3eff | 422,311,298 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2644…bbef | 426,407,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2646…7dcf | 417,141,298 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 267a…8cbf | 417,119,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f07…f94f | 414,312,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 26cb…b10f | 412,690,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 26fc…6d7f | 425,340,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2714…93df | 420,348,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…b45f | 426,693,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ef8…c99f | 423,237,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 46f0…332f | 426,737,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ed9…f4df | 412,132,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4742…af4f | 410,759,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c2f…5aff | 424,075,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bd2…cfef | 412,570,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7e75…db6f | 424,180,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7e7c…a7ff | 418,629,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc9…e4df | 425,107,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7eef…905f | 416,019,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bb2…52ef | 414,290,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ca…9cbf | 427,142,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ac…59ff | 425,780,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7f54…948f | 422,199,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 727a…701f | 423,640,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 88bd…c41f | 415,097,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 724a…887f | 420,516,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d406…7a3f | 423,180,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 893b…dfcf | 418,447,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3b3…b98f | 422,711,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d353…c9cf | 413,043,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d329…212f | 421,434,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d321…3bcf | 427,313,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d2bd…a21f | 420,301,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c35a…bebf | 416,544,882 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c33f…ea0f | 420,980,828 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…dc1f | 423,950,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…1a7f | 414,093,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72f7…783f | 414,612,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 731b…ddef | 421,933,773 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 732d…650f | 426,201,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fcbc…982f | 415,253,090 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c2b7…6f5f | 412,021,150 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4076…250f | 422,579,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73d3…b78f | 417,516,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3fec…8a2f | 425,150,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3f9b…6b2f | 422,430,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4697…dd7f | 413,198,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3f8f…359f | 417,016,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3f79…0f4f | 423,167,675 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7362…45ef | 427,383,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a60…c78f | 419,942,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a56…09ff | 420,545,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a54…2d7f | 423,148,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1cad…c49f | 420,582,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1cb1…f6ef | 421,463,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6feb…78bf | 411,036,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 1cf0…2cdf | 416,739,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 234e…0c0f | 426,011,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |