│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

co-buy(2)

rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 15% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
-11.6%
n=66393 out-of-sample
Hit rate
15%
126043 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-7.7% → -7.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
buy@pumpswappumpsbuy@pumpswappumpswwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.8% … -7.6%
Support126,043
OOS support66,393
MDL bits0
Case / control28487 / 163985
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
17 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 11319+30.0%—view →
crew 8617+22.9%—view →
crew 4799+10.0%—view →
crew 1620+5.3%—view →
crew 13104+2.4%—view →
crew 100633+0.0%—view →
crew 239836+0.0%—view →
crew 457224+0.0%—view →
crew 507243+0.0%—view →
crew 1593119+0.0%—view →
crew 666-10.0%—view →
crew 6819-13.6%—view →
crew 270456-14.2%—view →
crew 23020-20.0%—view →
crew 168817-20.0%—view →
crew 2173816-20.0%—view →
crew 923-20.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
404c…bb25426,042,582+30.0%✓13 replay
4050…e783410,308,427+30.0%✓3176 replay
408e…5e54414,413,480+30.0%✓— replay
c378…a8dc419,099,084+30.0%✓4317 replay
2725…b8c5427,058,366+30.0%✓27863 replay
d2f2…aacf419,475,820+30.0%✓5149 replay
d358…7fd5419,454,974+30.0%✓5072 replay
26dc…73d6423,881,706+30.0%✓70 replay
d38f…fb53418,099,599+30.0%✓5072 replay
7228…5ec2414,546,020+30.0%✓13 replay
7252…c602412,784,509+30.0%✓1022 replay
728d…7024413,987,794+30.0%✓13 replay
2662…46a9419,266,855+30.0%✓34 replay
72da…8b61421,694,053+30.0%✓— replay
72ec…7c48410,965,255+30.0%✓— replay
72ee…72aa415,834,578+30.0%✓— replay
3b20…7d02410,282,343+30.0%✓— replay
3b4f…ae3a411,421,818+30.0%✓21 replay
3b6b…d535414,979,740+30.0%✓— replay
3be0…f9ae415,028,464+30.0%✓— replay
3c04…d852416,126,453+30.0%✓3 replay
cef0…d32f427,395,332+30.0%✓6 replay
0e9f…5214415,063,684+30.0%✓3 replay
0ec1…7fbf418,479,592+30.0%✓9 replay
0f0b…801e424,505,123+30.0%✓10851 replay
69b3…5234423,370,775+30.0%✓16778 replay
cea4…d5f9414,965,653+30.0%✓6 replay
69e9…5816418,048,368+30.0%✓5 replay
6a46…4b18417,828,351+30.0%✓6 replay
6a85…151b411,429,811+30.0%✓— replay
6a95…fc98413,571,677+30.0%✓— replay
2757…8ac3414,142,480+30.0%✓1379 replay
8aab…ecda414,157,246+30.0%✓469 replay
3f80…8e21412,063,434+30.0%✓6 replay
3f67…f704415,281,874+30.0%✓28797 replay
27d3…ae7a424,388,830+30.0%✓27863 replay
3f5f…e43f415,247,757+30.0%✓5193 replay
27e9…fd6c422,598,956+30.0%✓— replay
2819…66a5423,097,416+30.0%✓33646 replay
3f09…377b426,744,834+30.0%✓6 replay
2828…c12e410,167,265+30.0%✓— replay
2845…bf24422,834,967+30.0%✓86 replay
2859…8779424,046,792+30.0%✓— replay
285d…6584422,922,046+30.0%✓33646 replay
5cce…bd58411,263,949+30.0%✓6 replay
3eb6…9940421,350,830+30.0%✓— replay
ce24…51ed419,349,495+30.0%✓13 replay
2b2b…e9cf412,119,331+30.0%✓16097 replay
2b44…f563415,257,246+30.0%✓4404 replay
fe8f…2fad414,617,389+30.0%✓110 replay
7a27…9d65423,945,022+30.0%✓10287 replay
fe63…4c0c413,809,122+30.0%✓1379 replay
7a5e…7cb2424,569,338+30.0%✓— replay
7a95…9d20411,757,126+30.0%✓— replay
fe37…0a69424,590,415+30.0%✓11065 replay
fe37…52de411,163,423+30.0%✓— replay
fe2b…aca3424,755,701+30.0%✓88 replay
5d08…7f7a418,474,682+30.0%✓6 replay
8697…6db5424,101,275+30.0%✓22865 replay
866b…88ca424,814,968+30.0%✓27863 replay