│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 15% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-11.6%
n=66393 out-of-sample
Hit rate
15%
126043 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-7.7% → -7.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.8% … -7.6%
Support126,043
OOS support66,393
MDL bits0
Case / control28487 / 163985
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
17 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 113 | 19 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 86 | 17 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 99 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 20 | +5.3% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 104 | +2.4% | — | view → |
| crew 1006 | 33 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2398 | 36 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4572 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5072 | 43 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15931 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 66 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | -13.6% | — | view → |
| crew 2704 | 56 | -14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 230 | 20 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1688 | 17 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21738 | 16 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 23 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404c…bb25 | 426,042,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4050…e783 | 410,308,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3176 | replay |
| 408e…5e54 | 414,413,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| c378…a8dc | 419,099,084 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4317 | replay |
| 2725…b8c5 | 427,058,366 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27863 | replay |
| d2f2…aacf | 419,475,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5149 | replay |
| d358…7fd5 | 419,454,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5072 | replay |
| 26dc…73d6 | 423,881,706 | +30.0% | ✓ | 70 | replay |
| d38f…fb53 | 418,099,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5072 | replay |
| 7228…5ec2 | 414,546,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7252…c602 | 412,784,509 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1022 | replay |
| 728d…7024 | 413,987,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2662…46a9 | 419,266,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 72da…8b61 | 421,694,053 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 72ec…7c48 | 410,965,255 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 72ee…72aa | 415,834,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3b20…7d02 | 410,282,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3b4f…ae3a | 411,421,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3b6b…d535 | 414,979,740 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3be0…f9ae | 415,028,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3c04…d852 | 416,126,453 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3 | replay |
| cef0…d32f | 427,395,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0e9f…5214 | 415,063,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3 | replay |
| 0ec1…7fbf | 418,479,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 0f0b…801e | 424,505,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10851 | replay |
| 69b3…5234 | 423,370,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16778 | replay |
| cea4…d5f9 | 414,965,653 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 69e9…5816 | 418,048,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 6a46…4b18 | 417,828,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6a85…151b | 411,429,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 6a95…fc98 | 413,571,677 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 2757…8ac3 | 414,142,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1379 | replay |
| 8aab…ecda | 414,157,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 469 | replay |
| 3f80…8e21 | 412,063,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3f67…f704 | 415,281,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 28797 | replay |
| 27d3…ae7a | 424,388,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27863 | replay |
| 3f5f…e43f | 415,247,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5193 | replay |
| 27e9…fd6c | 422,598,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 2819…66a5 | 423,097,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 33646 | replay |
| 3f09…377b | 426,744,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2828…c12e | 410,167,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 2845…bf24 | 422,834,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 86 | replay |
| 2859…8779 | 424,046,792 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 285d…6584 | 422,922,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 33646 | replay |
| 5cce…bd58 | 411,263,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3eb6…9940 | 421,350,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| ce24…51ed | 419,349,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2b2b…e9cf | 412,119,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16097 | replay |
| 2b44…f563 | 415,257,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4404 | replay |
| fe8f…2fad | 414,617,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 7a27…9d65 | 423,945,022 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10287 | replay |
| fe63…4c0c | 413,809,122 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1379 | replay |
| 7a5e…7cb2 | 424,569,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 7a95…9d20 | 411,757,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| fe37…0a69 | 424,590,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11065 | replay |
| fe37…52de | 411,163,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| fe2b…aca3 | 424,755,701 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5d08…7f7a | 418,474,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8697…6db5 | 424,101,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22865 | replay |
| 866b…88ca | 424,814,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27863 | replay |