│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(5)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+12.2%
n=58925 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
210263 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+9.5% → +9.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+9.5% … +9.6%
Support210,263
OOS support58,925
MDL bits0
Case / control132765 / 136462
Motif size8n · 8e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
1 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13 | 37 | +17.4% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6a60…3adf | 422,197,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6a5e…562f | 421,086,219 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a5d…b04f | 415,688,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a43…ffff | 422,477,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6a34…f4c1 | 419,567,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 6a31…31af | 413,242,871 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6a2e…141f | 417,969,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6a29…b70f | 420,525,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a26…23c4 | 412,345,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6a24…1a2f | 421,945,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6a02…bc2f | 420,441,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 69ef…a87f | 413,649,055 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 69df…ee4f | 413,371,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 85 | replay |
| 69df…47bf | 413,414,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 69d0…559f | 415,506,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14671 | replay |
| 69b2…1b3f | 426,888,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69a5…4c9f | 418,449,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 699d…3a5f | 416,156,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 6999…0f4f | 410,347,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1989 | replay |
| 6994…948f | 423,641,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 6992…f0ef | 410,336,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6987…0eef | 417,601,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6974…169f | 421,928,710 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1049 | replay |
| 695e…c91f | 412,944,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 0f0d…d20f | 427,423,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3 | replay |
| 0f0d…809f | 427,409,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f09…ec3f | 427,222,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17941 | replay |
| 0f09…247f | 427,188,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0f05…b91f | 426,990,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0f05…179f | 426,988,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0f03…89af | 426,904,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 84 | replay |
| 0f02…906f | 426,783,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 0f02…20ff | 426,776,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 0f00…636f | 426,692,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0efd…364f | 414,330,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ef9…184f | 426,333,873 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0ef6…16ef | 426,304,718 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ef2…3d7f | 425,728,854 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20682 | replay |
| 0eef…79cf | 425,635,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0eef…85df | 425,620,475 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0eee…1d8f | 420,156,870 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22573 | replay |
| 0ee4…3b5f | 423,513,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 0ed9…f4df | 412,132,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ebd…e01f | 424,972,387 | +30.0% | ✓ | 170 | replay |
| 0ebb…70df | 414,262,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eb5…c71f | 422,430,267 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d31f…2eef | 412,922,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ea8…071f | 419,018,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ea8…6a56 | 412,634,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 0e95…7ddf | 426,721,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 460 | replay |
| 3c64…68af | 412,969,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c55…625f | 418,574,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3c50…8faf | 411,109,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eae…5a9f | 414,796,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 717 | replay |
| 72b8…93df | 415,934,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7235…aded | 426,334,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 728e…4a1f | 413,437,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10521 | replay |
| 727f…725f | 420,823,043 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ab…001f | 426,080,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7261…53af | 415,266,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |