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rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 12% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 68
OOS effect
+11.3%
n=9 out-of-sample
Hit rate
13%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.2% → +2.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.588
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.8% … +9.5%
Support16
OOS support9
MDL bits20
Case / control57031 / 92438
Motif size7n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Other crews running this exact shape
7 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 620+19.5%—view →
crew 2134+17.6%—view →
crew 8815+17.4%—view →
crew 13183+10.1%—view →
all99950+6.2%—view →
crew 1789367+5.6%—view →
crew 270223+4.4%—view →
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
9060…61df418,418,008+30.0%✓68 replay
b70d…33af420,102,193+30.0%✓68 replay
58bc…9b7f416,371,103+30.0%✓68 replay
d3a4…67ff423,093,956+30.0%✓68 replay
fc68…1a6f421,064,555+30.0%✓68 replay
fc50…3f0f424,968,984+30.0%✓68 replay
8aee…482f415,355,403+30.0%✓68 replay
3f3b…fc2f426,041,724+30.0%✓68 replay
d8a9…389f416,412,640+30.0%✓68 replay
4713…453f419,066,370+30.0%✓68 replay
8903…e5df420,996,933+30.0%✓68 replay
268a…beff413,606,561+30.0%✓68 replay
b3cb…284f415,655,500+30.0%✓68 replay
7322…94ef425,658,303+30.0%✓68 replay
fecb…bbb1427,550,374+30.0%✓68 replay
90cf…0b5f418,557,089+30.0%✓68 replay
8b85…831f416,262,787+30.0%✓68 replay
3af0…aacf424,186,324+30.0%✓68 replay
39dc…c69f424,065,425+30.0%✓68 replay
c8f5…bcef409,724,823+30.0%✓68 replay
eec2…a37f409,859,166+30.0%✓68 replay
2c0d…5839426,660,116+30.0%✓68 replay
7a12…2e4f410,678,474+30.0%✓68 replay
b834…2eef422,808,425+30.0%✓68 replay
41c2…798f410,347,375+30.0%✓68 replay
0032…45af415,869,874+30.0%✓68 replay
3d00…3c7f415,262,732+30.0%✓68 replay
dcd4…d02f415,114,339+30.0%✓68 replay
405c…eb7e410,145,281+30.0%✓68 replay
27ad…bbdf422,539,732+30.0%✓68 replay
5e80…c01f415,347,473+30.0%✓68 replay
479d…c80d418,872,428+30.0%✓68 replay
7f93…720f421,400,479+30.0%✓68 replay
89a5…a1af423,634,902+30.0%✓68 replay
7046…b279417,120,088+30.0%✓68 replay
d4ad…11af409,707,497+30.0%✓68 replay
751e…614f409,764,527+30.0%✓68 replay
5e76…79ff415,859,572+30.0%✓68 replay
5fa1…f38f418,951,053+30.0%✓68 replay
d067…953f412,037,321+30.0%✓68 replay
d109…f770417,855,172+30.0%✓68 replay
995f…f0df409,879,933+30.0%✓68 replay
04a2…117f419,066,316+30.0%✓68 replay
470d…99c0409,883,195+30.0%✓68 replay
32dd…e83f409,904,061+30.0%✓68 replay
2e23…db5f412,309,950+30.0%✓68 replay
2e31…04ff421,057,684+30.0%✓68 replay
bfb8…f75f410,144,962+30.0%✓68 replay
4f0e…717f415,697,554+30.0%✓68 replay
b99c…bfef409,882,816+30.0%✓68 replay
ba0e…a16f409,935,324+30.0%✓68 replay
6554…0bbe409,722,404+30.0%✓68 replay
e094…3f5f410,986,978+30.0%✓68 replay
16ea…653f411,812,710+30.0%✓68 replay
64c4…5aef416,427,138+30.0%✓68 replay
0283…a8ef426,053,125+30.0%✓68 replay
79d5…035f419,954,588+30.0%✓68 replay
e3cf…8e0f410,355,835+30.0%✓68 replay
650e…c2af424,518,082+30.0%✓68 replay
924a…50cf420,206,020+30.0%✓68 replay