│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(6)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 55% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+12.8%
n=25897 out-of-sample
Hit rate
55%
59064 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.4% → +11.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.2% … +11.5%
Support59,064
OOS support25,897
MDL bits0
Case / control47841 / 37129
Motif size8n · 9e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
1 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13 | 40 | +16.8% | ✓ | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3c45…1e2f | 416,899,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 29176 | replay |
| 0ec4…949f | 413,757,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 84 | replay |
| 0ed0…d7bf | 424,473,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eed…e79f | 425,419,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0eee…154f | 425,444,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0eee…bfff | 425,540,981 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3270 | replay |
| 0f03…b6bf | 409,818,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17234 | replay |
| 0f04…362f | 426,934,624 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f04…88df | 426,963,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 0f06…78cf | 427,053,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 51 | replay |
| 6972…652f | 424,885,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24858 | replay |
| 69a6…95ff | 416,280,298 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69df…47bf | 413,414,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6a11…a6ff | 426,946,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a2c…22ff | 416,571,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1289 | replay |
| 86c6…ed1f | 416,490,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a9a…6d4f | 423,444,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 54 | replay |
| 6a9a…826f | 412,608,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2784…f80f | 425,252,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17851 | replay |
| 27cb…3a1f | 410,183,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 27fc…0a4f | 424,587,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 2825…0c3f | 411,788,607 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 282f…4e2f | 410,512,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4966 | replay |
| 2838…9bcf | 420,411,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2848…ed3f | 423,534,963 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 284c…82ff | 425,123,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 285f…fa5f | 426,465,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5ca4…b747 | 423,771,395 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5cb1…7868 | 419,764,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5cd2…128f | 424,597,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11209 | replay |
| 5ce0…053f | 426,499,828 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 5cea…050f | 427,058,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16510 | replay |
| 5cfe…75df | 415,589,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 5dac…9c04 | 423,472,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 57bf…350f | 425,549,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5808…faff | 423,605,388 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1518 | replay |
| 580b…887f | 424,683,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 582c…9dcf | 425,517,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6773 | replay |
| 6a2e…141f | 417,969,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 58a7…d8ef | 415,653,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 86a8…3c12 | 417,561,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 863a…b03f | 413,261,327 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 8634…3fbf | 417,851,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8618…05d1 | 410,840,742 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 85df…3c8f | 411,885,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7af9…c40f | 417,994,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7adb…8adf | 415,051,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1519 | replay |
| 7a20…305f | 412,573,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1519 | replay |
| 7a0f…2e92 | 418,866,941 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 2ba8…21bf | 415,108,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2ba7…4c4f | 419,761,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 2b7f…2c8f | 427,198,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1518 | replay |
| 2b1f…702f | 422,560,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2b10…721f | 425,745,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 58c9…610f | 415,307,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 2aee…536f | 416,228,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2ada…5eef | 413,595,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 2b0b…f0bf | 418,404,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 87c3…9b6f | 415,229,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8780…87ef | 418,472,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |