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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-18.6%
n=15 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
19 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-18.7% → -18.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-21.3% … -16.0%
Support19
OOS support15
MDL bits20
Case / control62318 / 105487
Motif size6n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 23183
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w1 | wallet | 5d2ba54474658d69def2ba47ede08b65b10858bdb575dd46f13d05c4eb062e88 | 91% | 31 |
Other crews running this exact shape
4 related groundings
Crew 23183
3 resolved wallets
088ba…aa6095ade1…1929c5d2ba…62e88
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288a…04c0 | 415,413,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 92d9…1664 | 416,382,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| b808…e5a0 | 415,913,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 8063…2a1e | 416,170,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| d27f…9010 | 416,396,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| d058…7441 | 415,916,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 6281…7bdb | 416,165,132 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 4f9b…e1e1 | 409,906,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 266b…6328 | 410,375,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| ecfd…b402 | 409,906,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| ba5d…5892 | 410,018,908 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 6e6e…72bf | 416,142,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| d5cc…d0fd | 416,353,738 | +27.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| d912…679c | 414,174,861 | +25.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| aafc…ab54 | 416,156,922 | +25.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 0f98…74ca | 416,357,799 | +24.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| b467…fe10 | 416,574,153 | +24.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| aaa8…728d | 415,675,328 | +24.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| ef50…ee20 | 415,736,978 | +24.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 3f9d…e06f | 414,600,361 | +13.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| f50e…d01d | 427,086,081 | +12.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| d015…4f1c | 426,501,297 | +11.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4620…ba27 | 409,900,726 | +10.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| e769…03b2 | 419,978,915 | +8.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| f132…2235 | 409,902,807 | +5.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| ce62…9efb | 420,639,702 | +5.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 8f54…204a | 409,905,108 | +5.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 285f…434f | 410,125,089 | +4.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 9143…6a4d | 410,124,303 | +4.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| f6bd…59c3 | 410,123,199 | +4.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| d06b…02cc | 410,125,845 | +4.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4ebb…2726 | 410,017,511 | +4.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| b3fe…e6ec | 410,007,385 | +4.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 08db…97f5 | 420,044,505 | +3.0% | 23183 | replay | |
| 86ae…fb78 | 420,407,570 | +2.9% | 23183 | replay | |
| c3a7…1918 | 420,403,138 | +2.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| 895c…6805 | 417,435,332 | +1.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4850…12e7 | 426,577,787 | +1.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| c82f…759a | 422,137,348 | +1.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 2ef3…ebf7 | 420,444,469 | +1.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 24c1…729e | 422,604,567 | +1.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 0c3e…df8d | 419,757,174 | +1.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 0a11…a491 | 426,650,860 | +0.9% | 23183 | replay | |
| f64a…130d | 426,750,452 | +0.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| 6c1e…490f | 425,643,852 | +0.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| 280b…7ec6 | 410,701,679 | +0.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| bb5d…3bc4 | 413,761,571 | +0.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 2f2e…7178 | 414,999,659 | +0.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 7f27…200f | 419,627,846 | +0.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| ba8a…7fab | 425,656,512 | +0.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1fb1…a530 | 426,649,970 | +0.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 3de5…b76d | 417,443,619 | +0.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 51d9…0181 | 417,434,655 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 83c4…4dea | 418,117,934 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 19c1…8b29 | 418,117,933 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| ad02…ed38 | 419,840,611 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| bbfb…3589 | 419,292,825 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1893…3841 | 426,649,821 | +0.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| 9d7c…1793 | 426,650,103 | +0.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| 6d16…0787 | 426,651,363 | +0.2% | 23183 | replay |