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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(3)
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 28% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-16.2%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
28%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.0% → +4.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.353
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.3% … +13.4%
Support18
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control36603 / 49404
Motif size7n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16217
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w1 | wallet | 79dacaee320bf4976a1f5e0fc0940abfceeeebc5297626f29c83c6753420e38c | 100% | 19 |
Other crews running this exact shape
11 related groundings
Crew 16217
6 resolved wallets
833a9…c717bb1168…3d57498684…fee84eb1f9…b736a79dac…0e38c4d6dd…2d089
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d0f9…58df | 411,921,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 3df2…7fdf | 417,776,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 4a79…a44f | 411,916,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 7ea2…e00f | 411,921,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 57c2…525f | 411,925,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 7cf1…78ef | 411,918,468 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 4895…e64f | 423,620,598 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 2c25…c9ef | 411,922,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 9e4a…0bdf | 411,923,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 34de…fc6f | 411,926,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| c94d…85cf | 411,920,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 6126…f4df | 421,495,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| a5b7…e41f | 411,921,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| ed7d…5fdf | 411,920,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 72e1…472f | 411,920,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 68f2…049f | 411,924,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| f69a…0a3f | 411,915,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| f685…769f | 411,924,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 6770…946f | 411,926,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| eebe…745f | 411,926,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 029b…3e3f | 411,925,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| de13…f66f | 411,454,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 53aa…d15f | 411,919,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 567d…076f | 411,925,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 47c6…549f | 421,877,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 09fd…6a7f | 411,927,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| fad1…992f | 411,923,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 317b…cc4f | 411,923,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 7904…88df | 411,922,706 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| e999…c33f | 411,920,282 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| e978…c47f | 411,920,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 6c11…df2f | 411,922,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| d77f…75ef | 411,923,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 3da4…de1f | 416,729,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 11bb…be9f | 411,922,385 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 1ba3…140f | 419,121,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| d1ba…b03f | 411,921,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| f819…f9ff | 411,922,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| e16f…f06f | 411,915,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 7970…cb8f | 419,920,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| c072…e93f | 424,690,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| b2c3…db0f | 411,924,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 0759…d25f | 421,511,673 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 1f90…016f | 411,919,969 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 2a8b…474f | 411,920,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| b475…0d2f | 411,921,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 70ed…de4f | 411,923,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| f726…4d1f | 411,922,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| f146…a23f | 411,922,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 1d5d…f58f | 411,918,092 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 245b…f44f | 424,039,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 358a…e2bf | 411,923,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 33c6…8aaf | 418,234,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 0632…117f | 411,920,135 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 9c2b…e09f | 411,921,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 89e9…686f | 411,924,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| d06b…393f | 411,922,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| 9b9f…585f | 411,922,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| edec…e4af | 411,924,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |
| f0d0…04df | 411,915,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16217 | replay |