│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(5)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 49% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+11.1%
n=23731 out-of-sample
Hit rate
49%
48072 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+9.8% → +9.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+9.7% … +10.0%
Support48,072
OOS support23,731
MDL bits0
Case / control36705 / 35108
Motif size8n · 9e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
1 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13 | 32 | +20.1% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72b3…ab9f | 424,535,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27525 | replay |
| 72b8…93df | 415,934,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2ba8…21bf | 415,108,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7357…b41f | 415,102,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3b53…1dff | 410,989,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3bd9…563f | 418,632,412 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 3be1…460f | 424,547,197 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20905 | replay |
| 3beb…69af | 421,753,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 106 | replay |
| 3bed…299f | 421,241,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c11…ac7f | 424,283,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3c45…1e2f | 416,899,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 29176 | replay |
| 0ec4…949f | 413,757,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 84 | replay |
| 0ed0…d7bf | 424,473,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eed…e79f | 425,419,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0eee…154f | 425,444,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0eee…bfff | 425,540,981 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3270 | replay |
| 0f00…636f | 426,692,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f04…cbcf | 426,935,472 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0f04…129f | 426,964,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6972…652f | 424,885,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24858 | replay |
| 699d…3a5f | 416,156,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 69df…47bf | 413,414,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 69df…ee4f | 413,371,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 85 | replay |
| 6a11…a6ff | 426,946,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a2e…141f | 417,969,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6a9a…6d4f | 423,444,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 54 | replay |
| 2784…f80f | 425,252,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17851 | replay |
| 27cb…3a1f | 410,183,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 27f8…209f | 418,484,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27fc…0a4f | 424,587,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 282f…4e2f | 410,512,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4966 | replay |
| 72da…3ddf | 424,500,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2838…9bcf | 420,411,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2ba7…4c4f | 419,761,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 2848…ed3f | 423,534,963 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2b10…721f | 425,745,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2b0b…b44f | 415,441,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 30719 | replay |
| 2aee…536f | 416,228,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2aaa…508f | 413,613,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| b6a2…e106 | 410,541,412 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b671…e60f | 415,321,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b667…21af | 417,488,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8837…834f | 417,941,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 881c…71af | 419,338,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 87cc…903f | 424,342,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 87af…eb5f | 409,928,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 8130 | replay |
| 8706…476f | 414,229,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 2b1f…702f | 422,560,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 58e0…1daf | 421,624,447 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 284c…82ff | 425,123,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 58a7…d8ef | 415,653,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 5ca4…b747 | 423,771,395 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5cd2…128f | 424,597,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11209 | replay |
| 5ce0…053f | 426,499,828 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 5cfe…75df | 415,589,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 285f…fa5f | 426,465,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 57aa…0eff | 413,167,509 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 587a…eebf | 424,929,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 57bf…350f | 425,549,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5846…956f | 425,013,285 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |