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rule detail

co-buy(5)

rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 33% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 68
OOS effect
+20.3%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
33%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.5% → +4.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.411
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.3% … +14.3%
Support15
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control577615 / 478607
Motif size7n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Other crews running this exact shape
5 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 619+18.9%—view →
crew 13196+16.3%—view →
all730198+13.5%—view →
crew 270218+12.8%—view →
crew 1789315+0.0%—view →
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
3f3b…fc2f426,041,724+30.0%✓68 replay
2252…6f6f427,553,385+30.0%✓68 replay
3f0b…f85f425,886,659+30.0%✓68 replay
8ac2…5aaf425,798,297+30.0%✓68 replay
d81c…d44f426,896,514+30.0%✓68 replay
d810…08ef422,956,490+30.0%✓68 replay
d801…454f420,559,962+30.0%✓68 replay
d7ca…5caf424,383,940+30.0%✓68 replay
d7b4…db5f425,805,433+30.0%✓68 replay
d7ae…246f411,038,964+30.0%✓68 replay
d796…842f414,979,911+30.0%✓68 replay
7316…f23f415,964,691+30.0%✓68 replay
477a…b54f424,334,408+30.0%✓68 replay
4713…453f419,066,370+30.0%✓68 replay
7354…15df420,975,166+30.0%✓68 replay
fc50…3f0f424,968,984+30.0%✓68 replay
fc68…1a6f421,064,555+30.0%✓68 replay
1bf1…a1ef416,033,280+30.0%✓68 replay
1c06…af5d426,026,283+30.0%✓68 replay
1c1d…960f417,976,301+30.0%✓68 replay
1c86…b2df423,971,780+30.0%✓68 replay
7365…cf3f418,532,244+30.0%✓68 replay
72e8…d35f425,096,140+30.0%✓68 replay
6fec…526f426,636,904+30.0%✓68 replay
702f…ed3f409,965,234+30.0%✓68 replay
dda9…b12f426,519,620+30.0%✓68 replay
8903…e5df420,996,933+30.0%✓68 replay
88d7…03df412,862,117+30.0%✓68 replay
ddbd…bb9f411,483,666+30.0%✓68 replay
88b8…81bf414,613,987+30.0%✓68 replay
8868…865f420,610,152+30.0%✓68 replay
ddd1…849f418,646,628+30.0%✓68 replay
db92…981f417,940,513+30.0%✓68 replay
7ea1…78df425,065,329+30.0%✓68 replay
7e5d…720f422,206,533+30.0%✓68 replay
dbc3…b45f416,274,375+30.0%✓68 replay
3fc7…95ef424,737,818+30.0%✓68 replay
dbd9…e72f419,456,670+30.0%✓68 replay
268a…beff413,606,561+30.0%✓68 replay
dc96…a50f419,939,599+30.0%✓68 replay
3f93…8a30426,713,504+30.0%✓68 replay
cdd4…b96f410,697,150+30.0%✓68 replay
3ff6…f12f421,898,731+30.0%✓68 replay
4027…a3bf414,192,884+30.0%✓68 replay
3f7a…c96f416,835,187+30.0%✓68 replay
3ea0…46bf412,533,078+30.0%✓68 replay
3e69…82cf415,388,402+30.0%✓68 replay
8553…bb0f419,567,585+30.0%✓68 replay
2835…d04f427,415,647+30.0%✓68 replay
90cb…16ef412,545,489+30.0%✓68 replay
90cd…029f411,439,919+30.0%✓68 replay
90cf…0b5f418,557,089+30.0%✓68 replay
9119…1f7f409,925,115+30.0%✓68 replay
58bc…9b7f416,371,103+30.0%✓68 replay
ee85…7d2f420,800,909+30.0%✓68 replay
5885…4daf419,846,697+30.0%✓68 replay
5d2f…8dbf427,500,885+30.0%✓68 replay
3af0…aacf424,186,324+30.0%✓68 replay
39dc…c69f424,065,425+30.0%✓68 replay
3a6a…02ef427,648,657+30.0%✓68 replay