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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(4)
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 19% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+5.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
19%
27 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-7.5% → -4.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-14.9% … -0.1%
Support27
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control30975 / 31120
Motif size8n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16418
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 1022c468f4f67287af58227e52cdbd5930d41941b7291e745a7c8385ca213efb | 100% | 29 |
| w1 | wallet | 46105dcc1e01d62af0da0558336ef4408d80f14e3c05af45edeb9469f6988e0a | 100% | 29 |
Other crews running this exact shape
4 related groundings
Crew 16418
6 resolved wallets
46105…88e0a1022c…13efb99b69…b6c56a7636…ed7df561a5…44c2fb8b3b…c3fab
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492e…b84f | 413,919,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 3e11…85ef | 412,415,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| b728…f1df | 413,923,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 31e8…7469 | 416,069,348 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 32b1…5cdf | 413,930,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 4775…464f | 413,923,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 31ca…bfef | 412,304,293 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 85e0…8424 | 414,046,805 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| aa24…744f | 412,415,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| a7fe…9b72 | 414,040,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 5c33…093f | 413,921,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 5ba9…a6ff | 412,389,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| bc81…a26f | 416,070,178 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 5d35…d39f | 413,929,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 1d65…3a4f | 416,070,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| c974…78af | 411,965,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 08e6…4b5f | 412,394,210 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| a74c…b86f | 412,415,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| fdaf…510f | 414,111,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 6e9d…4075 | 413,898,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 137c…27af | 413,930,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| affc…fa2f | 413,923,220 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 6c29…5e5f | 413,921,740 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| d981…15cc | 415,588,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 0467…d2e7 | 413,899,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| ed50…684f | 422,477,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| b175…a7cf | 412,487,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| e931…f74f | 412,488,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 4cc1…c25f | 416,070,538 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 85f0…41ef | 413,922,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| d547…9e8f | 413,923,108 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| b880…b4bf | 416,070,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| fc7c…7dff | 413,929,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 7e7a…e8bc | 415,215,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 1b4b…288f | 414,061,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| e566…c97f | 413,922,098 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 2c58…213f | 412,527,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 21f2…7cb2 | 419,922,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| f5a8…c94f | 413,922,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 910b…3cf9 | 416,066,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 2023…b16f | 412,310,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| f5f2…b9bf | 416,070,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 2c8e…acf3 | 419,975,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| d201…2152 | 416,067,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| b502…aacf | 412,415,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 11db…089f | 413,923,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 96c1…6c2f | 413,922,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| dee9…452f | 421,017,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| a00d…b5d7 | 419,971,189 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 4b7f…4a3f | 414,111,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 954f…917f | 413,920,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| ffe6…542f | 413,929,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| b2dd…0271 | 415,814,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| c1e9…ad33 | 413,898,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 1035…3afd | 414,597,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| b3d3…457f | 412,391,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| 6c46…b6d2 | 416,066,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16418 | replay |
| a70e…d8cb | 413,902,598 | +19.6% | 16418 | replay | |
| 214a…149f | 411,437,705 | +16.9% | 16418 | replay | |
| cb78…4a1f | 421,280,577 | +14.6% | 16418 | replay |