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rule detail

wash·co-buy(3)

rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 26% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 242942 anchors
OOS effect
+14.1%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
26%
23 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.6% → +4.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.222
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.7% … +11.0%
Support23
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control32732 / 33001
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 24294
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w2wallet9336aa2f8ec01a4ed23997d7e5798a3d7135459573828d4cf0528ef1e58345fa100%35
w3walletb7b6dccb1f8601dce8fce56e486dc335f448ebdc62dfcf52eaf6212d4ed00b8194%33
Other crews running this exact shape
6 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1386+20.8%✓view →
crew 17893118+13.6%—view →
all53295+9.8%—view →
crew 2539923+9.6%—view →
crew 270219+0.0%—view →
crew 367738+0.0%—view →
Crew 24294
3 resolved wallets
cccf1…00976b7b6d…00b819336a…345fa
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
26f0…06af420,682,849+30.0%✓24294 replay
b6fb…26af425,342,064+30.0%✓24294 replay
60bd…5a8f422,695,995+30.0%✓24294 replay
904f…75af420,440,833+30.0%✓24294 replay
2539…614f416,782,420+30.0%✓24294 replay
9cd2…47bf420,652,884+30.0%✓24294 replay
0680…47cf425,808,764+30.0%✓24294 replay
c94b…b7ff421,939,089+30.0%✓24294 replay
6e09…857f424,434,544+30.0%✓24294 replay
b7be…3d6f420,927,640+30.0%✓24294 replay
2827…a4ef422,878,447+30.0%✓24294 replay
67de…c79f425,796,681+30.0%✓24294 replay
3776…f7cf421,373,942+30.0%✓24294 replay
69d4…f22f416,170,206+30.0%✓24294 replay
9d3c…df5f414,760,833+30.0%✓24294 replay
61f4…629f421,934,640+30.0%✓24294 replay
f407…e6ef425,822,776+30.0%✓24294 replay
67d7…73df421,948,480+30.0%✓24294 replay
39b1…507f416,814,650+30.0%✓24294 replay
d523…006f421,908,278+30.0%✓24294 replay
86d0…ae1f425,528,476+30.0%✓24294 replay
cdb5…650f422,422,494+30.0%✓24294 replay
5057…43ff416,734,719+30.0%✓24294 replay
1e25…e0af425,084,708+30.0%✓24294 replay
c39d…9d5f421,589,855+30.0%✓24294 replay
8571…dacf419,820,649+30.0%✓24294 replay
fd41…845f420,005,183+30.0%✓24294 replay
8b6a…1f0f414,979,765+30.0%✓24294 replay
fa0b…340f422,912,151+30.0%✓24294 replay
6a35…311f425,085,460+30.0%✓24294 replay
5f70…0c8f416,491,843+30.0%✓24294 replay
6efc…284f420,679,321+30.0%✓24294 replay
aabd…347f425,823,504+30.0%✓24294 replay
1bec…2a0f416,369,724+30.0%✓24294 replay
f675…d75f416,584,088+30.0%✓24294 replay
034d…57df416,365,879+30.0%✓24294 replay
b0c9…efaf426,009,012+30.0%✓24294 replay
74dc…b2af427,203,369+30.0%✓24294 replay
c6ce…685f416,759,258+30.0%✓24294 replay
008a…ff5f423,552,541+30.0%✓24294 replay
5082…3cef421,791,275+30.0%✓24294 replay
50d2…a11f422,463,868+30.0%✓24294 replay
3e17…09df425,065,904+30.0%✓24294 replay
af21…eb8f425,273,142+30.0%✓24294 replay
1c02…6c6f425,772,075+30.0%✓24294 replay
9e23…6c5f421,566,707+30.0%✓24294 replay
e0e2…bb0f416,717,153+30.0%✓24294 replay
b5c3…ea3f421,540,306+30.0%✓24294 replay
fc9d…4ddf422,715,637+30.0%✓24294 replay
03e8…062f418,281,068+30.0%✓24294 replay
04b8…d28f420,664,073+30.0%✓24294 replay
bee9…5fff422,017,064+30.0%✓24294 replay
c56c…d7df424,130,902+30.0%✓24294 replay
5a4f…9c5f426,046,921+30.0%✓24294 replay
6036…5ecf416,099,410+30.0%✓24294 replay
8152…87af423,467,828+30.0%✓24294 replay
8154…7f2f420,945,462+30.0%✓24294 replay
0d5c…270f421,153,094+30.0%✓24294 replay
bfa6…e5df415,916,340+30.0%✓24294 replay
850c…c3bf425,988,840+30.0%✓24294 replay