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rule detail

wash·co-buy(5)

rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 57% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+12.9%
n=13123 out-of-sample
Hit rate
57%
59653 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.0% → +13.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+12.8% … +13.2%
Support59,653
OOS support13,123
MDL bits0
Case / control41490 / 31295
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
3 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 17893263+18.4%—view →
crew 1363+16.2%—view →
crew 367747+0.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
444f…8dff422,185,607+30.0%✓17893 replay
8716…fcef422,145,220+30.0%✓17893 replay
86e3…4f3f426,315,886+30.0%✓10208 replay
86c9…940f412,262,648+30.0%✓1968 replay
8601…d37f420,056,776+30.0%✓13 replay
7aa3…7c0f425,624,656+30.0%✓6 replay
7aa2…815f416,472,951+30.0%✓13 replay
7a81…3024419,696,853+30.0%✓13 replay
7a38…3a5c420,815,999+30.0%✓17893 replay
2b4f…137f418,848,755+30.0%✓22102 replay
2b40…143f417,155,764+30.0%✓6 replay
2aeb…3d6f418,511,876+30.0%✓22054 replay
2abb…eff7413,851,520+30.0%✓13 replay
2aba…6987420,315,820+30.0%✓17893 replay
2aa9…e67f413,593,705+30.0%✓17893 replay
b779…30ff418,639,283+30.0%✓17893 replay
b765…f34f421,719,982+30.0%✓13 replay
b763…ccff416,801,113+30.0%✓6 replay
b6e3…ed9f419,305,544+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6a0…459f412,143,758+30.0%✓1968 replay
b695…016f425,971,737+30.0%✓2728 replay
b692…aa4f416,246,119+30.0%✓15 replay
b66d…f25f422,621,583+30.0%✓17893 replay
8778…2ddf414,609,445+30.0%✓213 replay
8751…a70f421,848,352+30.0%✓1049 replay
58c2…439f418,516,571+30.0%✓11009 replay
57bf…fa6f416,621,731+30.0%✓6 replay
5dc4…e51e421,804,695+30.0%✓17893 replay
5dc2…364f425,228,193+30.0%✓34 replay
5d4b…9fbf418,403,218+30.0%✓6436 replay
5d46…feff421,393,319+30.0%✓24294 replay
5cc7…2d6f418,767,787+30.0%✓17893 replay
5ca6…842f416,920,499+30.0%✓13 replay
2836…e46f418,977,461+30.0%✓51 replay
27e9…a6e0422,745,274+30.0%✓13 replay
27e3…958f421,190,228+30.0%✓6442 replay
27a9…16ff414,923,813+30.0%✓13 replay
27a2…cdff427,675,506+30.0%✓336 replay
2761…c86f417,358,967+30.0%✓17893 replay
273e…8fbf413,087,020+30.0%✓6 replay
270f…b37f420,392,028+30.0%✓6274 replay
6a92…cb3f415,029,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
69b9…2b2f420,616,518+30.0%✓13 replay
697d…ac7f418,531,276+30.0%✓6 replay
0f09…ec3f427,222,418+30.0%✓17941 replay
0ef5…646f425,863,402+30.0%✓36 replay
0eed…bc3f425,441,136+30.0%✓190 replay
0edc…caef421,495,299+30.0%✓6 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
0e96…033f417,813,351+30.0%✓13 replay
3c4d…26bf412,930,549+30.0%✓13 replay
3bf8…1b01415,359,445+30.0%✓2978 replay
3bef…89cf427,452,289+30.0%✓336 replay
3b66…45bf412,396,512+30.0%✓1968 replay
3b45…270f417,762,159+30.0%✓1958 replay
3b42…260f421,813,253+30.0%✓13 replay
72c4…49df426,752,278+30.0%✓13 replay
72af…963f415,219,562+30.0%✓20 replay
8a54…9eef422,225,167+30.0%✓17893 replay
d3f0…af4f417,924,852+30.0%✓13 replay