│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(3)
rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 41% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+11.0%
n=93354 out-of-sample
Hit rate
41%
148766 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.8% → +8.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+8.7% … +8.9%
Support148,766
OOS support93,354
MDL bits0
Case / control105027 / 137136
Motif size7n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
1 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13 | 22 | +15.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2767…4ddf | 427,292,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2751…710f | 422,700,204 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2740…6a0f | 417,402,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 273c…5aef | 413,023,447 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 271b…008f | 422,973,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 37553 | replay |
| 2710…cd3f | 422,652,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6a8c…18df | 422,048,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a87…7bbf | 411,496,206 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6a5c…df2f | 423,879,327 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a4f…cf0f | 410,338,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a37…0dbf | 425,630,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6a34…b72f | 413,797,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6a2f…61ff | 423,930,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69fb…de6f | 419,730,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 69f2…046f | 422,848,400 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 69cb…faaf | 424,553,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 69bb…46af | 412,509,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 69bb…aeff | 415,797,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69b4…b1cf | 413,928,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 698e…543f | 423,252,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 30574 | replay |
| 697e…e92f | 425,282,055 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 695f…bfef | 424,668,729 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…b45f | 426,693,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…dfaf | 426,687,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…075f | 426,684,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 245 | replay |
| 0eff…6bcf | 426,661,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 309 | replay |
| 0eef…36af | 416,796,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 0eee…689f | 425,447,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eec…41bf | 425,392,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2410 | replay |
| 0eec…93cf | 425,391,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 0eea…a6af | 413,974,365 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ee8…7aef | 426,269,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c3c6…d45f | 418,485,969 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ea0…9d9f | 426,884,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0e9c…3a5f | 415,216,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0e9c…137f | 416,019,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 37632 | replay |
| 0e97…e55f | 421,598,109 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2044 | replay |
| 0e92…2aaf | 422,256,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 155 | replay |
| 3c54…600f | 417,735,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3c43…262f | 410,311,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3c33…078f | 417,396,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c23…f29f | 409,909,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3bfc…7e6f | 409,900,326 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27620 | replay |
| 3bf4…ffdf | 425,144,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3bed…299f | 421,241,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3be8…5c3f | 414,846,354 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2097 | replay |
| 0ea8…eb9f | 413,976,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 7253…58cf | 414,498,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 724a…887f | 420,516,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3f2…bd0f | 426,270,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2572 | replay |
| d3d4…091f | 424,989,873 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d3b3…b98f | 422,711,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3ac…956f | 425,845,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d389…53df | 418,045,507 | +30.0% | ✓ | 401 | replay |
| d36f…360f | 427,238,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 33 | replay |
| d36e…d8bf | 418,141,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d35e…6fef | 419,154,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4175 | replay |
| 3bd8…cddf | 420,609,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27983 | replay |
| d339…16cf | 424,324,590 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d357…3daf | 422,878,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |