│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.4%
n=564737 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
1375628 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.8% → +7.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+7.8% … +7.9%
Support1,375,628
OOS support564,737
MDL bits0
Case / control774777 / 1165961
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
32 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 55 | 22 | +22.5% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 17 | +20.6% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 24 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 15 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 24 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 34 | +13.6% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 37 | +11.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 121 | +11.7% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 17 | +10.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 31 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 33 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 619 | +9.1% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 18 | +9.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 54 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 35 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 77 | +7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 17 | +7.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 51 | +7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 57 | +6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 29 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 24 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 19 | +3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 16 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.1% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 16 | +0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 855 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 336 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4966 | 29 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 76 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 38 | -4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 21 | -5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 19 | -15.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3b52…ee0f | 417,127,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b53…1dff | 410,989,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b57…291f | 410,853,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b59…a02f | 413,303,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b5a…767f | 412,577,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b5c…039f | 410,715,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3b63…fb5f | 412,148,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b63…8a5f | 423,623,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b66…45bf | 412,396,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b68…346f | 415,472,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3b6f…a5af | 425,378,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b7a…514a | 418,350,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b83…2c4f | 419,108,173 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3b8a…5d7f | 411,895,887 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b94…72bf | 412,098,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6943 | replay |
| 3b94…f49f | 427,218,268 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3b94…8c8f | 427,400,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5130 | replay |
| 3b99…2126 | 421,460,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3b9a…debf | 426,350,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3ba0…331f | 417,823,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3ba0…b81f | 419,888,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3ba2…014f | 418,919,182 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3ba3…8ccf | 410,074,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4966 | replay |
| 3ba7…64ff | 411,483,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47422 | replay |
| 3c52…8cc9 | 421,234,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13247 | replay |
| 3bb0…10ef | 416,536,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3bb2…52ef | 414,290,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bb6…f27f | 426,476,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27829 | replay |
| 3bbd…48ff | 426,427,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25033 | replay |
| 3bbf…bb3f | 411,917,327 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3bc0…d33f | 427,406,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc2…dc9f | 421,256,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3bc3…198f | 420,287,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3bc5…854f | 415,159,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3bc6…9ddf | 426,495,957 | +30.0% | ✓ | 477 | replay |
| 3bc9…fe6f | 424,888,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc9…e4df | 425,107,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bca…0b5f | 426,117,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3bd0…bacf | 415,223,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3bd2…cfef | 412,570,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bd6…6400 | 414,532,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3ba7…f92f | 425,847,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3c10…635f | 418,782,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c11…ac7f | 424,283,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3c15…1b2f | 418,939,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c16…dabf | 427,282,702 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bd8…cddf | 420,609,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27983 | replay |
| 3c1b…5c9f | 417,279,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 54 | replay |
| 3c20…2bcf | 419,697,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3c23…f29f | 409,909,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c26…6bcf | 426,025,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3505 | replay |
| 3c27…505f | 412,462,773 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c29…226f | 409,945,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3c1b…c11f | 420,627,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 3c2f…5aff | 424,075,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c4d…26bf | 412,930,549 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c50…8faf | 411,109,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c33…078f | 417,396,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c51…426f | 417,150,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |